The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Spartz: Meaningful Chance Advanced AI Escapes Control and Kills Everyone
“There's a Meaningful chance that we are going to make AI so powerful that we will lose control of it. And if we lose control of it, there's all kinds of bad things that can happen, including us all dying.”
Spartz: In five years, 99.9999% of content will be AI-generated
“Five years from now, 99.9999% of all content will be created by AIs.”
Spartz: In every domain, AI will evolve from tool to boss
“So in every domain, like AI starts off as a tool and then it goes up through the four levels. And so that's the thing to keep an eye on, is like, in, in your industry, if AI is starting off as a tool right now, eventually it'll become an assistant, then it'll …”
Spartz: A large percentage of future influencers and relationships will be AI
“In a world where all the influencers are, you know, AI, they're not human anymore, or, like, a large percentage of them, rather, are AI influencers. A large percentage of all relationships online become with AIs because the AI can be tailored.”
Spartz: More change will happen in next 5 years than past 25
“I think the next five years are going to be more, like more is going to happen in the next five years than like happened in the last, like, you know, 25 years.”
Spartz: Blockchain will be critical to cryptographically verify content creators
“I think blockchain will actually be useful here is you can cryptographically sign you know, content to verify that it was, in fact, created by the person who says it was created by. I think that's going to be absolutely critical”
Spartz: AI interfaces will shift from open chat prompts to guided button UIs
“This is just kind of early days of AI, but what it's gonna be is, like, first it starts with just a blank, you know, a blinking cursor in a search box where you have to, like, spontaneously think of what you want to ask the AI or what you want the AI to do, an…”