The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Isenberg: Nikita Bier launched TBH as a hail Mary before Facebook sale
“And he ended up as like a hail Mary launching TBH. It ends up going viral and like tens of millions of people download it and ends up selling to Facebook, like for tens of millions of dollars, like a couple months later.”
Greg Isenberg Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 12:59 Business ideas worth paying attention to
What-if
Nikita Bier: TBH Would Have Failed If Launched on First Try
“If we just struck it on the first try, I think it would have crashed and burned really quickly.”
Nikita Bier Feb 15, 2022 ▶ 8:25 Will Meta Bounce Back? (with Nikita Bier) | Where It Happens | Bonus Episode
Assertion Contradicted
Nikita Bier: TBH Reached Nine Million Users in 90 Days
“I mean, nine million users in I think it was like, 90 days.”
Nikita Bier Feb 15, 2022 ▶ 8:52 Will Meta Bounce Back? (with Nikita Bier) | Where It Happens | Bonus Episode
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isenberg: Nikita Bier nearly shut down his startup before launching TBH
“Like, you know, Nikita beer, for example you know, TBH, that app that he eventually sold to Facebook, like was like, I mean, I remember him calling me and being like, Hey dude, like, do you know how to shut down an office and shut down a company? And I was lik…”
Greg Isenberg Apr 20, 2023 ▶ 4:19 The Secret Strategies of Top DTC Brands with Nik Sharma
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nikita Bier: TBH Received Acquisition Term Sheet Within Six Weeks
“We got the term sheet within six weeks of launching the app and we sold, it was kind of like a dream come true situation.”
Nikita Bier Feb 15, 2022 ▶ 7:26 Will Meta Bounce Back? (with Nikita Bier) | Where It Happens | Bonus Episode
Assertion Supported
Nikita Bier: TBH Was the 15th App Built Over Five Years
“We built we did it for five years. We built 15 apps. We were about to shut down. We were very close to it. And the 15th app went straight to number one in the app store, right as we were, like, basically turning off the lights in the office.”
Nikita Bier Feb 15, 2022 ▶ 7:00 Will Meta Bounce Back? (with Nikita Bier) | Where It Happens | Bonus Episode
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