why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dan Shipper: Users can feed video into Codex to recreate apps
“But honestly, you can literally just feed this video into codex and just be like, make something like this and it will do that.”
Opinion
Text-to-app AI builders like Bolt create polished UIs with broken features
“I just think generally text to app builders are over building everything or completely setting everything up as an overbuilt tool. But actually all the features are under, under built. So if you ask for like a Shopify, a Spotify clone with Bolt, it'll spit out…”
Insight
Task-based AI tools are better for beginners than text-to-app builders
“I kind of feel like this is a better place to start than a text app builder, because like I said, it's going to build a big fancy thing. And what you're going to end up in is like seeing a bunch of terminology code being written tests failing. They're all to d…”
Opinion
Dan Shipper: People Underestimate Codex's Multi-Agent Orchestration
“I think that people are sleeping on how, Flexible and powerful of a tool this is. Because, okay, so it's got the image model in it, and then it also has the ability, like it has the ability to change other threads. So, like, I can have this thread message anot…”
Insight
Brown: AI toolmakers are converging on folder-and-thread agent interfaces
“All of these companies are deciding that this is kind of the correct interface to interact with AI agents.”
Insight
Riley Brown: Execute AI tasks once before turning them into automations
“This is how I normally set up automations. People sometimes want to create an automation before they do it. It's just like do it once and then tell the agent to do that every time on this day. And that's a kind of a good workflow.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI coding agents will eventually fully automate GitHub pull request workflows
“I just think you start here and you can think, well, at some point the, like the PR stuff, that's going to be automated. Like, I'm sure you can get bots now that if there's a successful pull request, it'll just merge it to the main branch. So like, you never h…”
Disclosure
Dan Shipper uses Codex Goal Mode for 20-hour autonomous training runs
“I'm training a model to do copy edits. And this goal is four hours, it's been going for four hours, and I just like let it go, but four hours is honestly very short, like I, over the weekend I had one or two that went for like 20 hours each, and so it's just a…”
Assertion Supported
Tossell: Codex Ask Feature Lacks Live Internet Access
“And it can do it and it, but it's more connected to, it's not connected to the internet. So it's like, I'm just looking at your repo and answering based on what it has, what knowledge it has to give you that response.”
Assertion Supported
Tossell: Codex cannot process uploaded files, images, or UI mockups
“Because the thing you can't do in codecs, so there's some limitations here, obviously, like you can't upload any files. You can't upload any images. You can't say make the UI look like this.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tossell updated his live website via AI with five button clicks
“We've opened the task, we've merged it, we've closed it works on my site. I did no coding, and I did Maybe like four or five button pushes to do this.”