why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2027
Calacanis: Disney's streaming bundle will reach one billion subscribers
“I think that between Disney, Hulu, ESPN plus, they're going to get to a billion subscribers.”
Insight
Rief: Newsletter bundles struggle because top creators realize the bundle adds little value
“The person who adds the most value to the bundle is always going to be curious why they're in the bundle to begin with and why the bundle's not adding them value. And I think it's very much a game of who adds the value and, you know, you're not bundling it wit…”
Opinion
ESPN Focused X Games on Stunts Instead of Athlete Personalities
“I think Disney and ESPN have focused so much on the, like, Bigger, faster, higher, stronger of the X games rather than on the personalities and the people and creating a face to it.”
Assertion Supported
Phan: Disney had a Twitter acquisition term sheet ready in 2016
“Disney actually looked at buying Twitter in 20 2016. I think they had a term sheet, everything was ready, and then Iger, like, woke up one day and was like, I don't want to deal with this fucking, I don't want to deal with the moderation bullshit that's going …”
Assertion Partly supported
Bloom: ESPN dropped X Games asking price to $50M
“Last year, they basically tried, publicly said they were trying to sell it, and so initially, they said it would cost a hundred million dollars to buy it, No one wanted it. They came down and they basically said they would take a fifty million dollar offer for…”