why aren't all 73 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Wilkinson: Holding company spends $40k/month on Claude instead of hiring
“So instead of a payroll, we just have a 40,000 dollar a month Claude bill. And it's doing everything.”
Opinion
Brown: Codex beats Claude Desktop by unifying coding and coworking tools
“Another way that I like to think about this is Claude code or this codex is like Claude code and co-work in a single product, but it's even better than that. And the reason why I like it more than Claude desktop is Claude made a decision to split up co-work an…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Isenberg: Google AI will beat Anthropic's Claude and OpenAI's ChatGPT
“And I think that it's really going to be, you know, it's Google AI versus Cloud versus ChatGBT, and I wouldn't be surprised if Google AI wins.”
Opinion
Ross Mike says he would cancel Claude subscription for Astra
“Anthropic is sweating for sure because for the first time I would like, if I, if someone asked me pick a subscription, I would cancel and drop my Anthropics subscription. I would cancel Claude. Astra's that good.”
Opinion
Shipper: Anthropic's Claude and Opus remain ahead in visual product design
“I would go to Claude for the actual design, and then port it back in here, because I still think that Claude has a better sense, especially Fable, RIP. But even, even four eight would be better at this. And I think for a product like this, being able to see it…”
Opinion
Local AI on gaming GPUs handles 80% of typical ChatGPT workloads
“Today a model that runs on a gaming GPU or a decent Mac is good enough for about, I would say, 80% of what most people use things like ChatGPT or Cloud for.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Taba: AI workflows reduce functional software prototyping from weeks to minutes
“A proposal might've taken up to three days and now it takes minutes. You can saw that clickable prototype again, not a prototype in Figma, not a design prototype. If functional prototype could take one to two weeks to figure out what to build, do it, get it ou…”
Opinion
Wilkinson: Prompt engineer jobs are unnecessary because AI can interview users directly
“Nobody needs to build the prompts. The AI should just interview you. OpenAI just doesn't want to spend all the compute at this point, but it is fully capable of just interviewing you to figure out what you need.”
Opinion
Courtney: Detailed AI prompts require speaking them aloud
“Prompts of this detail Are only really possible if you're able to verbally play with them and just talk them out.”
Insight
Claude excels at system comprehension while GPT-5.3 rules rapid pair programming
“So, high level, what that means is Claude is better when the task is understand everything first and then decide. GPT Thrive Five Three Codex is probably better when the task is decide fast, act, iterate, more of that, you know, pair programming, you know, mid…”
Opinion
James: Getting from zero to ready software is easier with Claude
“What I have personally found, and to be clear, I haven't tried to build a full on application with Gemini three yet, but I think that Claude's earlier models, like I would always go back to them. Like when I was trying to use codex and GPT five before 5.1 came…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
James: Claude Code automatically detects and fixes technical SEO issues
“You don't even have to know what all of it is to be honest with you. Just that Claude will find it and Claude will do it.”
Opinion
Isenberg: Manus AI feels more powerful than ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Claude
“What are you noticing about Manus is it feels like just a little more horsepower than chat GPT, a little more horsepower than perplexity, a little more horsepower than Claude. So it's because of this like multi-agent browsing sort of capabilities, I think”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wilkinson: Claude found $100,000 in tax savings from my Xero data
“Like at one point I said how could you optimize my taxes? And it said, oh, you have a credit line over here and you have a credit line in your company. If you use the company money to pay down the personal credit line, you can just immediately write off. Like,…”
Opinion
Choi: Manus AI is an agent orchestration framework, not a Claude wrapper
“There was a lot of meme going around talking about how, yeah, this is just a wrapper and et cetera. That may be very oversimplifying it. I think what they've done is create like a whole framework under the hood. I believe is that they got a, you know, army of …”
Opinion
Cole: Base ChatGPT and Claude make custom GPTs unnecessary
“The ChatGPT and Claude are so powerful that you do not need much more than this for a long time.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cole: AI writing platforms will turn everyone into a writer
“And ChatGPT and Claude and all these AI writing platforms are going to do the same exact thing. They are going to make everyone a writer because it's reducing the barrier to entry.”
Opinion
Claude outputs more human and higher-quality written content than ChatGPT
“You can use ChatGPT, but I prefer Claude for its,
Output.
I just think it's much more human.
I've at least felt that way when I've been using it.
so the content is better.”
Opinion
Raz Mike: Claude's web UI generates better code than its Cursor integration
“First and foremost, I find that I don't know what cursor does with their integration with Claude, but I just find that sometimes the output I get from Claude directly on the site is much better than a cursor.”
Opinion
Isenberg: Claude is currently 30% better than ChatGPT
“No it's honestly, 30% better. Like, every answer you get is 30% better. So, the thing is, ChatGPT was better, and then Clode recently caught up. Now ChatGPT is getting better, but right now, as we're recording this, Clode is where you want to be.”
Opinion
Why Anthropic's Claude Is a Weak Brand Name in America
“Claude.ai is, you know, on one hand is good because it's like a person and a brand, and you can kind of see it, and it's French, so maybe it's like, I don't know, higher quality. But it's hard to spell for the, for Americans. They don't really get it, you know…”
Opinion
Greg Isenberg uses Claude 99 times more than GPT-4
“I'm actually, I'm using clode just like 99 times more than, yeah, it's just way better.”
Insight
Isenberg: Ad-hoc AI chats fail because models restart without accumulated context
“The problem it's going to be solving is that most people use AI in these random chats. So they'll open up a ChatGPT or Claude, Gemini, they'll ask for 10 posts, and maybe they'll copy and, you know, copy one into a doc that they like, and then the work just di…”
Insight
Howell: Visual Agent Avatars Reduce Cognitive Switching Costs Over Text Interfaces
“Color and shape is all the human brain needs to differentiate something. So you can easily recognize all your different little teammates here versus like a grade, just like a gray thread in chat GPT or Claude. It's just, I find this tool saves you so much on s…”
Insight
Isenberg: Start AI employee automation on operator tasks, not shipping code
“I wouldn't start by asking Claude to ship production code while I'm asleep. I would start by just giving it a recurring operator task. Eventually you can get to more cool, glamorous tasks, but I would just start by, you know,”
Insight
Isenberg: Massive AI Coding Tickets Produce Untrustworthy Changes
“If it's a small ticket, you can manage it, but if the ticket is massive, you end up with a giant pile of changes that might look impressive, but, you know, it's hard to really trust it.”
Insight
Isenberg: Vague AI Prompts Turn Managers Into Cleaners
“Claude has to guess, guess what matters. And once it starts guessing, you're no longer managing the work. You're cleaning up the work.”
Insight
Isenberg: Fast AI coding shifts the primary bottleneck to human judgment
“Once Claude can build things click quickly, as you see the bottom, the bottleneck moves to the judgment.”
Insight
Finn: AI expenses are value-generating investments, not entertainment subscriptions
“I think people have this weird framing around costs when it comes to AI. Like they see the cost of Claude and they see it's, oh, 200 dollars a month. That's really expensive. It's very, they're comparing it to like the cost of like Netflix and like Xbox live a…”
Disclosure
Wilkinson: AI Health Agent Simulates Multi-Doctor Team for Medical Inquiries
“If I ask it a question, it's prompted to use max intelligence. So let's say I said Hey, should I take this medication? It will spin up a rheumatologist, a you know internist, like every type of doctor as a clod expert with extra high thinking, and it will do a…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brown: Claude and Codex Subscriptions Provide Thousands in Subsidized Tokens
“Like, in Claude or in Codex is you just save so much money because they're subsidizing, like, you get thousands of dollars of tokens for your a hundred dollar per month or 200 dollar per month plan because you're using their platforms.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moritz Kremb: Claude hallucinates OpenClaw solutions instead of checking official documentation
“Because normally Claude will, if you ask it something about OpenClaw, it's like, it can give you the right answer, but it often just makes something up. If it doesn't really know, it doesn't always go and check the docs by itself through its web search feature…”
What-if
Schneider: AI and Ephemeral Postgres Cut Data Cleaning From Hours to Minutes
“What have used it would have taken me probably five hours historically to like clean the data appropriately. And I smashed that out in like probably 20 to 30 minutes.”
Insight
Vin: Web AI memory is uncontrollable and opaque to users
“A lot of people are using like Claude or ChatGPT on the web and it has things like memory, but you can't like control, you don't know what's in that memory, right? You don't know what it knows and what it doesn't know.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Claude cuts Courtney's lead magnet creation time from 3 days to half-day
“Now this entire process of marketing for me, That maybe it would be a week for us to, okay, let's say a full lead magnet campaign two to three days to get it right. Now we're talking about half a day and it just feels so much faster.”
Insight
Isenberg: Effective AI skills make models think like experts, not follow steps
“The trick to creating effective skills to make your AI think like an expert, not just to follow steps.”
Insight
Isenberg: Claude Skills serve operational workflows better than time-bound Projects
“A common question is, well, why wouldn't I just use a project within Claude? Well you could use a project, but projects are context specific for a specific, like, you know, there's a beginning, middle and an ending date to the project. So for example, like may…”
Opinion
Isenberg: Leaked Claude Agent Mode Is a Huge Leap for AI
“So I think that this is a huge leap
for AI in general.”
Opinion
Isenberg: Claude 4.5's landing page design objectively beats Gemini 3 Pro
“I think you're right there.
Like, I think objectively it was nicer.”
Insight
James: Upfront Claude skills and research yield better results with single prompts
“You can get way better results with less prompting and less work in between. So do the research up front, set up the skills, Grow one prompt into the system, and you'll get a great result. So doing the boring stuff up front, if you will, doing the research, bu…”
Insight
Farroki: Contextual prompt chips directly boost AI app engagement and proper usage
“These details, like, it does actually, not even for the feeling, it has a direct impact on the usage. Like, people will probably click these things, and there's just a higher chance that they'll, they'll use it more properly if you have this.”
Opinion
Cheung: AI Exaggerates And Ultimately Fails At Delivering Authentic Human Insight
“The insight part, AI sucks at giving like human insight and experience, comparing certain things to like other models, for example, and just like tweaking up little things that just don't seem right. Like, Claude likes to exaggerate a lot. Like I say, like wor…”
Insight
Schneider: Scraping Reddit via Claude produces superior ad hooks
“What's going to be way more effective is like you go and you scrape a Reddit forum and you find this random quote, you know, about acne cream and like somebody describes it in this funny way or a different way. And like you extract that using Claude and you're…”
Insight
Isenberg: Feeding customer pain points into Claude boosts landing page conversions
“Why is this so key? Is that you can actually feed this in to Claude and say, you know, write copy on my landing page based on these pain points and specific language they use. And that's going to help you convert better on what, whatever it is you're working o…”
Insight
Meng To: AI requires explicit reference prompts for unique designs
“Because, you know, AI is very limited in the amount of context. It's very trained in a certain way by Claude, by OpenAI, but it's not trained to be unique. It's not, the only way it can be unique is if you tell it, and if you handhold it, and if you give it th…”
Disclosure
Jiang: Peek combines Claude for reasoning with Gemini for fast tool calling
“As for the LLM side, we actually string together a combination of, ah, Gemini, as well as Claude, ah, depending on like the, I guess the function, but a lot of the initial insights, like, These kind of I would say like more detailed insights. We use three seve…”
Insight
Smith: Custom GPTs require specialized proprietary data to monetize
“In order for a custom GPT to, I think, be able to monetize, you do need some sort of, ah, specialized data that other people don't have. Because if that same thing can be done through ChatGPT or Claude, right, you don't have a business.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
MCP workflows compress 40 hours of SEO research into 30 seconds
“So that alone, like if you want to do like manual keyword research and you're not like a super, you know, search or SEO or digital marketing professional, that could take you 20, 30, 40 hours to go into a tool, to analyze the keywords, to look at the competito…”