The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Siu: Apple will sell over 500,000 Vision Pro units within 12 months
“They're breaking that.”
Eric Siu Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 14:13 I can't believe he gave away these GENIUS 3 AI startup ideas (watch this)
Assertion Supported
Spotify indexes podcast episode descriptions, but Apple Podcasts only indexes titles
“Spotify will index your summary of your description of the episode, but Apple only indexes the title.”
Chris Hutchins Aug 10, 2023 ▶ 18:02 How to Turn a Podcast into an Empire
Assertion Supported
Bloom: Meta estimated Apple's ATT would cause a $10B hit in 2022
“Basically, this was, it was ten billion dollars that was gonna be the impact to Facebook in 20, 22 was what they said on the earnings call, which, as he pointed out, is a, it's a pricing change because it's the level of price you can charge to the advertisers,…”
Sahil Bloom Feb 15, 2022 ▶ 20:26 Will Meta Bounce Back? (with Nikita Bier) | Where It Happens | Bonus Episode
Assertion Contradicted
Dogecoin Beat Apple and Amazon in Retail Trading Volume Last Year
“Doge was the, over the past 12 months, the fourth most traded asset across all retail brokers and exchanges. And it was, it beat out by the way, it beat out Apple, Amazon, and the SPY index, the S&P. It was literally behind Tesla, Bitcoin, and Ethereum”
Sahil Bloom Jan 19, 2022 ▶ 39:08 Memes Rule The World with Dogecoin Creator Billy Markus | Where It Happens
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