The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2029

Coogan: Apple will never launch a device stripped of the App Store

“And then they're also never going to be in a situation where they, where apple says, Hey, we're launching a device and we deliberately nerfed it. So it doesn't have an app store. And you can't install Tik Tok or Roblox. Like they're just never going to do that…”

John Coogan Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 28:53 John Coogan (TBPN) gives you $1B BIG startup ideas

Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029

Wilkinson: Apple will probably add blood glucose sensing within five years

“Another bet would be to say, you know, in the next five years, Apple will probably have a blood glucose sensor and that people will start monitoring things like that in their health more and more and more.”

Andrew Wilkinson Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 21:14 6 startup ideas from the Tech Warren Buffett (make $120k/mo)

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