why aren't all 672 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Hildebrand: Default ChatGPT "Nowhere Near Good Enough" for YouTube Scripts
“I tried using ChatGPT and I saw that it was nowhere near good enough to, you know, write the kind of script that I wanted to see.”
Opinion
Gargicevich: Fitbod's generated workouts were weird, bad, and sometimes dangerous
“I noticed that the workouts were weird and even a bit dangerous sometimes. And like the more I used it, I was like, wow, okay, these workouts are actually bad.”
Insight
Gargicevich: Founders should copy competitors' proven ads via Meta Ad Library
“Good thing about meta ads library is that it's all public. You can go into any of your competitions dashboard and see, you know, which ads are working for them, where they're putting more money. And yeah, there's no secret sauce there. Just copy what works for…”
Insight
Many users will pay at a hard paywall before seeing the product
“Hard paywall before you sign in for the first time. It's like how many users Are actually going to pay before they actually see their product? And the answer is a lot.”
Insight
Easier software development has created a highly liquid buyer market for apps
“Right now tech isn't a hard thing to build at all, which means there's a lot more buyers out there who can feel like, Hey, I can just take this product on and just market it better than you and then get more money and more profit margin.”
Insight
Consumers do not share apps directly; they share assets generated inside them
“No one on this earth shares apps, right? No one's going to randomly be like, Hey, yeah, download this app. But what they tend to do is actually share an asset within the app.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lotz claims his app Praise Screen achieved 60% Day 30 retention
“So praise screen had a 60% day, 30 retention. Which is kind of like unheard of.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Praise Screen achieved a $0.30 to $0.50 US cost per install
“So for pre-screen, we were getting between 30 to 50 cents cost per install in the US market, which is like unheard of.”
Insight
Steven Cravotta Says Mobile Apps Must Be Built Marketing-First to Succeed
“Every mobile app that you build should be approached from a marketing first standpoint, because as long as you can market your product, you will make money. And if your product is not marketable, you could have the best product in the world, but if no one know…”
Insight
Steven Cravotta Claims First Viral Video Permanently Raises Baseline View Floor
“Once you get that first viral video, the floor of the amount of views that you get will increase over time because the platforms trust you more, and there's more engagement to your videos, so they will be shown more.”
Opinion
Steven Cravotta Recommends Only Starting Paid Ads on Facebook and TikTok
“Facebook and TikTok are really the only two places that you should start running paid ads.”
Opinion
Bhooshan: Competitor Taplio's core content creation feature was 'not that great'
“Tapleo was the, like the biggest in the market. They had like numerous features, but the Core feature, which is basically content creation piece was not that great.”
Insight
Bhooshan: Free users ghost founders, while lifetime deal buyers provide feedback
“What happens, what I've realized is free users don't actually validate your product. They will just consume it. And if something doesn't work, they will just ghost you. But LTE customers, because they have put real money into your business, they are going to g…”
Insight
Bhooshan: Lifetime deals build product ambassadors, not just upfront revenue
“Launching on LTD is not just for cash. It's for these purposes also. Like we were able to reattend, 15 ambassadors for our product that actually helped us make our product product of the week.”
Insight
Product Hunt and Hacker News Bring Traffic, Not Paying Customers
“I also did a launch on ProductHunt a year and a half after launching the product for the first time. So that's also was a really nice source of traffic, not paying customers, but yes, traffic and visibility. And I remember I also posted on Hacker News. I got t…”
Opinion
France: Claude produces the most human-like emotional copywriting among LLMs
“The first is that I think it's the most human like LLM. Yeah. So the copywriting is good and it's there is more emotion in the copywriting.”
Insight
John Rush requires five 90%-off presales before writing any software code
“I launch a wait list. And I see whether I am able to generate a hundred signups. I email them all and I offer them a 90% discount on a presale before I build anything. And then if I get five sales, I build the first MVP. I don't even build a product. I actuall…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Every John Rush software user tries at least one additional portfolio app
“Every user that drives one of my product, Ends up trying at least one more product and often I have people who try all of my products.”
Insight
John Rush: VC models reward headcount growth while bootstrapping requires minimizing it
“In the VC world, you have many people working for you, and you want to grow the headcount as much as possible because that increases your valuation. And in the bootstrap world, you want to cut The head count as much as possible.”
Insight
Lane Wagoner: New entrepreneurs should never copy competitors' website designs
“As a new entrepreneur, it can be really tempting to go look at a bunch of competitors' websites and like, oh man, they're so beautiful. They're so well-designed. I should make my website look like theirs. Absolutely. You should not do that.”
Insight
Wagoner: Serving multiple customer personas is the deadliest early founder mistake
“You should only be listening to what problems your customers have, and then you should be filtering out any problems from customers that aren't exactly the type of customer that you want to serve. In my opinion, the most dangerous thing you can do. Is try to s…”
Insight
Fricks: Daily Content Creation Outperforms Batching for Rapid Iteration
“If I'm just batching, I'm going to have the same still content for the whole month that I don't even know if it works yet. So every day means you can improve and iterate way faster and you can find a winning template way faster.”
Insight
Park: Influencer sponsorship should prioritize viral view ceiling over view floor
“What matters more to me is not really the floor of are they consistently getting 5010 thousand, 100,000 views. What matters way more to me is the ceiling. Do they have at least one or two videos that gets 1,000,002 1,000,010 million views?”
Insight
Park: Do not price influencer sponsorships based on follower counts
“With an influencer, you don't want to pay based on the number of subscribers and the number of followers that they have. The sole question you should be asking is will their audience convert and like your product or will they not?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Park: A single repeating TikTok format drove $500K+ for Jenni AI
“We probably posted that exact same video two times a week for maybe half a year, and that's done hundreds of millions of views, tens of thousands of paid users. I would say probably over half a million dollars, and it was one of several video series that we we…”
Opinion
Park: Niche influencers are always a better deal than huge creators
“These niche influencers Will always be a better deal than working with huge creators that have agents and they're well versed in how to extract as much money from you as possible.”
Insight
Myers: Niche vertical specialization makes reaching $1M-$2M in revenue easy
“Specializing in a vertical where you're going to be talked about, it's easy to get to one to two million dollars in revenue doing that.”
Disclosure
Myers: Oceans does not hire candidates with prior EA experience
“We don't hire people that have been EAs before. We hire people that have had really unique operational backgrounds that are really smart and really intelligent.”
Insight
Myers: If an Entrepreneur Cannot Step Away, They Built a Bad Business
“I think there's a stigma around entrepreneurs doing things that aren't related to their company, and I'm like, if that's true, you have a shitty business. If you can't do the things you want to do, if you can't step away and be like, Man, I'm able to read the …”
Opinion
Colin McIntosh: Founders should never use AI for early business planning
“And people should not use AI for any of this shit. Any of it. Should not do that.”
Insight
McIntosh: Non-technical founders cannot recruit random engineers without substantial pay
“You're not going to ever convince some random software engineer to work on something with you that is like your idea without paying them a lot of money, nor should they.”
Opinion
McIntosh: Monthly subscriptions for resume builders are predatory to job seekers
“We also don't want to do monthly subscriptions because I do find that predatory. And we want to make sure that we're not taking advantage of anyone during a, you know, a hard time in their life.”
Insight
Anderson: TikTok and Instagram distribution are solvable for driving massive traffic
“TikTok and Instagram are very solvable right now. You can figure out the various influencer strategies, the user generated content strategies, organic account growth strategies to funnel millions of people to your products.”
Insight
Anderson: Social media algorithms push more views to new accounts
“And I don't think that the algorithms were as optimized for new accounts to be able to generate millions of views a few years ago. But now that they're all in bloodbath competition with one another, They have to incentivize new creators. And so they'll push mo…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anderson: $100 creator promo drove 500,000 Rizz GPT downloads in one month
“I pay them each 50 dollars for a promo. So 100 dollars total and overnight five, ten million views total. 45,000 downloads in that first big day. 200,000 downloads on that week. 500,000 downloads on the month.”
Insight
Anderson: Physical product niches signal high-converting opportunities for new software apps
“When you find a niche that's heavily monetized with physical products, that's a good indicator that the niche converts. It's also a good indicator that You can probably build a software or application to solve a problem within it.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Anderson: Millions remain on the table for an all-in-one AI glow-up app
“I think that there's still a lot of room for like an all-in-one AI glow up application. Umaxx was kind of like the first iteration, but if someone were to put real time investment into building a super valuable application here, that really helps people improv…”
Insight
Anderson: Internal UGC yields 50-80% profit margins versus 0-30% for paid ads
“One of the reasons that internal UGC is great is that you usually see somewhere around like 50 to 80% profit margins. People doing influencer marketing, you usually see somewhere in the range of like 25 to 70%. And then people doing paid ads, you generally see…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walls: Nearly every successful bootstrapped B2C app grew purely from content
“I've done a lot of research on businesses and nearly every really, really successful bootstrap to B to C app like this purely got traction from content.”
Insight
Walls: For consumer apps, distribution and attention matter more than product
“I think the most successful B to C founders or people building iPhone apps, they truly understand that product is just not as important as distribution as distribution and attention wins the game.”
Insight
Moubeche: Red ocean markets prove product-market fit; just execute better
“If we have competitors, it means that there is always a product market fit. These guys are making shit tons of money. So all you have to do Is to be better.”
Disclosure
Pessagno: Working every weekend maintains solopreneur momentum
“One thing I do is, though, is I make sure to work even on weekends.
I feel that really keeps the momentum going.”
Opinion
Cravotta: Mobile apps are an untapped space requiring zero experience
“The biggest misconception people have is that like, it's hard to get into. So like not a lot of people are doing mobile apps right now. It's untapped, but I honestly don't think you need any experience to build mobile apps”
Insight
Cravotta: Hire Eastern European developers for best quality at lower prices
“I recommend only hiring developers from Eastern Europe. They're going to give you the best quality code for a cheaper price.”
Insight
Cravotta: Pay app developers upon completion, not hourly
“So I don't pay anyone per hour. I pay them when the app is complete. It's on the store. There's no bugs, but 100%, you can build an app for less than a thousand dollars.”
Insight
Cravotta: Marketing is 95% of a mobile app's success
“Marketing really is 95% of the success of a mobile app.”
Opinion
Cravotta: TikTok is the best marketing channel for any mobile app
“And TikTok is the best way to market any app.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cravotta: Hard paywall boosted Puff Count conversion rate to 20-25%
“When I changed PuffCount to a hard paywall, and I made users commit to a free trial before they could use any features in the app, it changed my business overnight. My conversion rate shot through the roof upwards of 20, 25%.”