The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Teller: Waymo shifted framing from carmaker to mobility to safest driver
“So if the first five years were Waymo thought we're going to be making and selling a car the next five years, they thought. Actually, our job is transforming mobility, just moving people from point A to point B. That's our job. But even that framing while bett…”
Palafox: Autonomous vehicle companies will not outsource synthetic data to startups
“Like there's just not enough enterprises that need that. And the ones that actually need it, it's so core. Like think think like Cruz or like Waymo. It's core to them. Like they're not gonna like outsource that to like a shitty startup.”
Teller: X evaluates 1,000 to 1,500 ideas per decade
“And so our job is to try 1000, maybe 1500 ideas per decade. And if we get a couple Google brains or Waymo's or wings per decade, Especially if we're really efficient at throwing most of those ideas away early, then this is really good for our investor alphabet…”
Teller: Graduating X projects typically spin out with 10 to 50 employees
“If you do that for six years and you've burned down a lot of the risk, if we're actually at the place where like, well, there's a sizable chance this actually could be a Waymo someday. Then it graduates from X and you know, often this is sort of on the order o…”