The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

What-if
Kushner: An Israel-Saudi Deal Could Have Finished in 3 to 6 Months in 2021
“When President Trump left in 2021, ah, a deal with Saudi could have been done in three to six months, and that was basically what I passed over to the previous, ah, administration, ah, during the transition.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 40:23 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Trump and Witkoff Will Successfully Resolve the Gaza Conflict
“We need to get the Gaza issue resolved, and I know President Trump and Steve Wyckoff are working incredibly hard on that, and I do believe that they will be successful, and then big progress will be made soon thereafter.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 43:35 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Opinion
Kushner: Second Trump term lower-level hires exceed first-term top-level talent
“The people that they're hiring now at like third and fourth levels into the government are better than the people who are willing to come work for us at the top levels in the first administration.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 50:07 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Middle East Will Co-Create Global AI Tools, Not Just Fund Them
“I actually think they're gonna become a very significant, not just investor, but also partner in creating AI tools and capabilities that can then go from there to the rest of the world.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 31:48 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kushner: Israeli firm Phoenix is exploring investments in Saudi Arabia and UAE
“The next phase of that is, is Phoenix, which is a monster company, is now looking at investments in Saudi Arabia, investments in UAE, and basically thinking, how can they start deploying their huge amounts of capital into infrastructure projects In the region …”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 46:05 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Assertion Contradicted
Kushner: Antonio Gracias saved over $10B annually on Social Security
“I know Antonio Gracios has done amazing work helping figure out how to get, you know, make sure we're only paying social security. I think he saved over ten billion a year so far from that.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 51:10 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Disclosure
Kushner: Affinity bought Brazil Burger King, Starbucks, and Subway assets with Mubadala
“Another one of those businesses we did was we bought into the food sector in, in Brazil. We bought a lot of the Burger Kings there, and then we just bought the Starbucks and the subway out of bankruptcy. We did that in partnership with Mubatala, which has been…”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 4:42 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Insight
Kushner: Silicon Valley solves problems well but struggles to pick them
“What we saw in Silicon Valley is that they're amazing at solving problems. They're not always the best at identifying which problems to solve.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 15:49 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Kushner: Jared Kushner pushed TSMC to build Arizona semiconductor fabs under Trump.
“When I was in the White House the first time under President Trump this was part of the efforts that, that he was saying he wanted to focus on, and at his direction, actually, I reached out to TSMC and was in touch with them then to Push them to try and start…”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 26:59 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Opinion
Kushner: European Regulation Has Stifled AI Innovation
“You see the regulation they put on in Europe, and that's why there's really not a whole lot happening in Europe on the AI front right now”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 29:14 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Assertion Partly supported
Kushner: Affinity saw nearly 9x return on Phoenix Holdings in a year
“We invested then at about 37 dollars a share. Today, the stock's almost 120 dollars a share. Because we needed a approval from the regulator, we bought 4.9 then, and then another 4.9 later. So we're able to use better leverage because the shares went up quite …”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 45:27 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Insight
Kushner: Private-sector government tours of duty beat permanent political class
“I think that it's very, very important to have private sector people going into government, doing tours of duty versus just having a permanent political class which I think is is not necessarily great for the long-term interests of America.”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 51:54 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Insight
Kushner: Public-private partnerships need expertise, project management, capital, and local navigation.
“Government at their best can set the right policy. And if you have great leaders who can do that, you still need the private sector to come and be your partner in order to bring expertise, technical expertise. You need them to bring project management capabili…”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 5:45 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Assertion Supported
Kushner: 2,000 GW of US Energy Was Awaiting FERC Permits
“In the U.S., we have about one point 1300 gigawatts of energy. but what they showed me is that there's about 2000 gigawatts of energy that was waiting for permits from the FERC”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 28:27 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
Disclosure
Kushner: Ivanka Trump assists Affinity Partners with early-stage AI investments
“And so she's been making investments. She's been helping us a lot on, on some of our early stage investments that we make in AI and other areas, and she has a very good track record of doing those investments”
Jared Kushner Sep 11, 2025 ▶ 48:56 No Priors Ep. 131 | With Jared Kushner
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