The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 24 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Stability AI Has More Compute Available Than Microsoft or Google
“The reality is we have more compute available to us than Microsoft or Google.”
All Base Foundation Models Will Ultimately Open Source Their Pre-Training Phase
“So my take is that foundation models will all be open source for the deep learning phase.”
Emerging Market AI Systems Will Outperform the West Within Five Years
“I am certain that system will outperform anything in the West within five years.”
Only About 100 People Worldwide Possess Skills to Train Foundation Models
“There's only like a hundred people who can train models in the world. Like it's not really a science. It's more an art, like losses explode all over the place when you try to do something.”
Large AI Model Runs Should Be Registered Like Dual-Use Biological Weapons
“I think that a productive outcome of that regulation is anything above a certain level of flops needs to be registered similar to, well, bio weapons and things that have the potential for dual use.”
Small Hive Architecture AI Models Will Massively Outperform Large Monolithic Models
“I think that small models will outperform large models massively, like I said, the Hive model aspect”
Democratizing AI Is a Moral Imperative as Models Reach Superhuman Level
“More on that, a bit of a moral imperative to make this technology available to everyone because we're now going to very narrow superhuman performance and everyone should have access to that.”
OpenAI Is Incorrect That Image Generation Is Not Core to AGI
“I do believe that they are incorrect around multimodality being, or images being a core component of that.”
Large Language Models Are Creative Fiction Engines Rather Than Factual Databases
“I do say these large models as well should be viewed as fiction, creative models, not fact models, because otherwise we've created the most efficient compression in the world. Does it make sense you can take terabytes of data and compress it down to a few giga…”
Governments Will Eventually Pour Hundreds of Billions Into AGI Model Scaling
“When governments decide, and I don't believe they've decided yet, that having an AGI is the number one thing, tens of billions, hundreds of billions will go into building bigger models.”
Malicious Actors Already Possess Advanced AI Models and Thousands of A100 GPUs
“I think the bad guys, I'm going to put that in quotes have access to these models already and thousands and thousands of A-one hundreds.”
ChatGPT-Level AI Models Will Run Locally on Smartphones by 2028
“You will see ChatGPT level models running on the edge on smartphones in five years, which will be crazy.”
Stability AI Is Deploying Four Million Tablets to Children Across Malawi
“So right now we're deploying four million tablets to every child in Malawi.”
Movie Studios Are Already Saving Millions by Implementing Stable Diffusion Locally
“We are working with multiple movie studios at the moment who are saving millions of dollars, just implementing stable diffusion by itself, let alone these other technologies.”
Generative Image Models Will Soon Achieve 25 Frames Per Second
“With the additional breakthroughs that are coming through, it'll be 25 frame images a second. That's a hundred times speed up over a hundred times just from getting it out there and people interested in doing that.”
Stability AI Is Exclusively Training Video Models on the Eros Bollywood Catalog
“So like now we're training on hundreds and soon thousands of Bollywood movies to create Bollywood video models with our partnership with Eros you know, and that is exclusively licensed.”
Multi-Model Interactions Will Dominate the Future of AI Over Zero-Shot Models
“And again, I think this is the future, not just zero shot, multiple models interacting with each other is the way full stop.”
Emad Mostaque Personally Funded Early Open-Source AI and Midjourney Grants
“So I started supporting the whole space at Luther and beyond, giving jobs to the developers, compute for the model creators, funding the various notebooks from disco diffusion to these other things, you know, giving grants to people like mid journey that were …”
Stability AI Repositories Beat Ethereum and Bitcoin Combined in GitHub Stars
“You know, on GitHub stars, we've overtaken Ethereum and Bitcoin cumulatively. It took them 10 years. We got there in like three, four months.”
Stability AI Secured a Seven Million Hour Grant on Summit Supercomputer
“So to give you an example, we just got a seven million hour grant on Summit, one of the fastest supercomputers in the US.”
Distilled Stable Diffusion Models Can Run Locally on iPhones in Seconds
“Now, as of the release of Distilled Stable Diffusion, it will run in a couple of seconds on an iPhone, and we have neural engine access, because our view of the future is creating models that aren't necessarily bigger, but that are customizable and editable.”
Computational Biology Will See Artificial Intelligence's Biggest Scientific Breakthroughs
“And then I think on a breakthrough side, computational biology will be the biggest one.”
Stability AI Plans to Release an Open Medical Foundation Model
“We will release an open MedPalm model. Well, med stable GPT.”
Stability AI Was Originally Conceived as a Decentralized Autonomous Organization
“And originally I thought you got communities, you gotta make them kind of coordinated. Could a DAO work or a DAO of DAOs? And that's how stability started. After about a week, I realized that was not gonna work and it was incredibly difficult. So then I figure…”