The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Patel: Huawei Obtains TSMC Wafers via Shell Companies
“Huawei is still getting you know, wafers in Taiwan from TSMC through, like, shell companies, right?”
Tan: Intel Foundry is very distant from TSMC on performance and yields
“And the Foundry side, we are very distant from TSMC. And then in terms of their performance, so that's we have to be humble looking at building the building block, like I mentioned earlier, the IP, the yield, the defect density, and the cycle time to make it m…”
Guo: NVIDIA's competitive moat is really deep despite intense economic pressure
“I think the desire, like the economic pressure given two trillion of market cap and
More demand than NVIDIA can support is higher than ever, but I think the moat is actually really, really deep.”
Kushner: Jared Kushner pushed TSMC to build Arizona semiconductor fabs under Trump.
“When I was in the White House the first time under President Trump this was part of the efforts that, that he was saying he wanted to focus on, and at his direction, actually, I reached out to TSMC and was in touch with them then to
Push them to try and start…”
Multi-year fab lead times will keep AI hardware supply chains constrained
“Look, I think we're probably going to be in a constrained world for the next little bit of time. Just, you know, that some of these things are, they take time. Like, look how long it takes to build a semiconductor fab. Like, it is, it's not a short lead time, …”