The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030

Younis: FSD-like systems will become standard vehicle features within five years

“So I think general availability on a FSD like system over the next five years is going to be common, just like navigation systems.”

Qasar Younis Jun 17, 2025 ▶ 32:35 No Priors Ep. 119 | With Applied Intuition's Qasar Younis and Peter Ludwig

Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2034

Karpathy: Tesla Autonomous Stack Will Be Pure End-to-End Neural Net in 10 Years

“And I do suspect that The end-to-end systems for Tesla in, like, say, 10 years, it is just a neural net. I mean, the videos stream into a neural net and commands come out.”

Andrej Karpathy Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 5:32 No Priors Ep. 80 | With Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI and Tesla

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The Ledger

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