The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2034
Huang: AI compute will follow hyper Moore's Law over the next decade
“Over the next 10 years our hope is that we could double or triple performance every year at scale. Not at chip. At scale. And to be able to, therefore, drive the cost down by a factor of two or three, drive the energy down by a factor of two, three every singl…”
Jensen Huang Nov 7, 2024 ▶ 1:45 No Priors Ep. 89 | With NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang
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