why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Helberg: DeepSeek lied about compute capacity and distilled ChatGPT weights
“The main takeaways of how DeepSeq achieved the performance its performance was Incremental efficiency gains. They lied about their compute capacity because they have a billion dollar cluster, and they distilled ChatGPT's model weights.”
Opinion
Huang: DeepSeek paper was Silicon Valley's most important recent read
“This is, you know, let's face it, Deep Seek was probably the single most important paper that most Silicon Valley researchers read from in the last couple years.”
Opinion
Krishnan: Chinese Models DeepSeek and Qwen Are the Best Open Source
“I think to even today, I would probably say the Chinese models, Deepsea, Quan are the best open source models”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krishnan: Robotics Startups Are Heavily Using Distilled DeepSeek and Qwen Models
“When I was talking to a bunch of robotic startups, you're seeing a lot of distilled DeepSeq, a lot of distilled Quen out there.”
Opinion
Krishnan: Global Usage of DeepSeek and Qwen Is Geopolitical Soft Power
“When somebody is using DeepSeq or Quinn, that's an expression of soft power.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gil: DeepSeek spent hundreds of millions on compute before final run
“My sense is everybody thinks that they were spending hundreds of millions of dollars on compute leading up to this. And so from that perspective, it wasn't really novel.”
Opinion
Guo: DeepSeek app surge driven by curiosity and hype, not capability
“And there's a competing view, which is just like, well, like this whole drama is quite interesting and people are trying it as much because like they want to see what the leading Chinese AI model is like, if it's as good as open AI and anthropic and such. I de…”
Assertion Supported
Patel: DeepSeek inference requires 160 GPUs and $10 million per replica
“Like the DeepSeq implementation of inference is like a 160 GPUs or something like that, like that's over ten million dollars of Hardware. And then that's just one replica.”
Opinion
Gil: 20% drop in NVIDIA stock after DeepSeek was unwarranted
“And I think that sort of 20% drop in Nvidia stock and everything else that happened as news of this model spread was a bit unwarranted.”
Assertion Contradicted
Krishnan: DeepSeek Preceded Anthropic and Google in Releasing Reasoning Models
“DeepSeq was the only reasoning model, which was not open AI. So I don't think Claude had come out of the reasoning model yet. I don't think Google had yet. It was the only non-open AI reasoning model.”