The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Frontier AI training compute grew nine orders of magnitude in nine years
“Over the last decade, the amount of compute that we've used to train the largest models in the world has increased by an order of magnitude every single year. So I went back and had a look at the Atari DQN paper that we published in. And that used just two pet…”
Mustafa Suleyman May 11, 2023 ▶ 47:46 No Priors Ep. 16 | With Mustafa Suleyman, Founder of DeepMind and Inflection
Assertion Supported
Vinyals: Gemini formed by merging parallel LLM efforts across Brain and DeepMind
“One was that the Gemini project was formed as a result of having two sort of Parallel efforts on LLMs, mostly led by Google Brain and what we now call Legacy DeepMind. So earlier in the year, there was an effort to merge the two projects, and that's when sort …”
Oriol Vinyals Aug 1, 2024 ▶ 0:54 No Priors Ep. 74 | With Google DeepMind VP of Research Oriol Vinyals
Assertion Supported
DeepMind's AlphaFold originated from an internal reinforcement learning hackathon
“That's part of the reason why we started the Alpha Fold project, because it was actually my group that was looking around for other applications of DQN-like, AlphaGo-like tools, and in a hackathon that we did one week someone stumbled across, across this probl…”
Mustafa Suleyman May 11, 2023 ▶ 18:41 No Priors Ep. 16 | With Mustafa Suleyman, Founder of DeepMind and Inflection
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