The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
ChatGPT-Level AI Models Will Run Locally on Smartphones by 2028
“You will see ChatGPT level models running on the edge on smartphones in five years, which will be crazy.”
Emad Mostaque May 3, 2023 ▶ 44:38 No Priors Ep. 3 | With Stability AI’s Emad Mostaque
Assertion Supported
ChatGPT launched as a 10-month-old model with RLHF as a practice test
“ChatGPT was a 10 month old model with a little bit of RLHF on top of it. And, you know, like by, you know, admission, like You know, not a beautiful user interface. It was just sort of a way to get something out there because you know, you needed some practice…”
Kevin Scott May 24, 2023 ▶ 28:03 No Priors Ep. 18 | With Kevin Scott, CTO of Microsoft
Assertion Supported
Rauch: ChatGPT and Character.ai are in the top 1,000 most-trafficked websites
“For example, in the top 1000, you already have ChatGPT and Character.ai. They're in the top 1000 most trafficked websites of the public internet, so to speak.”
Guillermo Rauch Aug 30, 2023 ▶ 23:46 No Priors Ep. 30 | With Vercel CEO Guillermo Rauch
Assertion Supported
Guo: ChatGPT cannot design a DNA sequence expressing CRISPR-Cas9
“As a task, for example, if you ask ChatGPT to design a DNA sequence that can express Prisper Cas- nine, it can't do that yet, right?”
Sarah Guo Mar 7, 2024 ▶ 8:56 No Priors Ep. 54 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil
Assertion Supported
Rauch: Vercel and Next.js power ChatGPT, Under Armour, and Nintendo
“In fact, it's powered by Next.js, our open source framework to websites like underarmor.com or Nintendo, where we provide the infrastructure to serve All their traffic and help them iterate on their web presence.”
Guillermo Rauch Aug 30, 2023 ▶ 0:53 No Priors Ep. 30 | With Vercel CEO Guillermo Rauch
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