The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Helberg: DeepSeek lied about compute capacity and distilled ChatGPT weights
“The main takeaways of how DeepSeq achieved the performance its performance was Incremental efficiency gains. They lied about their compute capacity because they have a billion dollar cluster, and they distilled ChatGPT's model weights.”
ChatGPT-Level AI Models Will Run Locally on Smartphones by 2028
“You will see ChatGPT level models running on the edge on smartphones in five years, which will be crazy.”
Davis: OpenAI Had 400 Employees and $13B of Compute When Launching ChatGPT
“In OpenAI's case, you know, there were only 400 people, but had thirteen billion dollars worth of compute, you know, which is quite a bit of computational scale there.”
ChatGPT launched as a 10-month-old model with RLHF as a practice test
“ChatGPT was a 10 month old model with a little bit of RLHF on top of it. And, you know, like by, you know, admission, like You know, not a beautiful user interface. It was just sort of a way to get something out there because you know, you needed some practice…”
Nadler: OpenEvidence used AI citations months before ChatGPT
“We were actually providing references and, Citations six months or nine months before ChatGPT started doing that.”
Rauch: ChatGPT and Character.ai are in the top 1,000 most-trafficked websites
“For example, in the top 1000, you already have ChatGPT and Character.ai. They're in the top 1000 most trafficked websites of the public internet, so to speak.”