Prediction Held up AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 3/5 debate potential 2/5

Guo: 2024 will end with a handful of GPT-4-level models

Sarah Guo · No Priors Ep. 59 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil · Apr 11, 2024 · at 0:37

Sarah Guo (Conviction VC) discusses rapid progress in frontier and open-weight models following releases from Mistral, Databricks, and others.

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“I think it's very it's very likely at this point that you end this year with a handful of GPT-IV level models, and that some of those are open source, right?”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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