The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,621 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Western agencies funded India's first ultrasound imports to curb population growth
“They basically, these whole bunch of these Rockefeller, Ford, even some UN agencies were involved in this, and they basically imported with their funding ultrasound machines. And they basically said that, look, this is great. Why don't you allow parents to act…”
Kumar: Most milk in India exceeds regulatory aflatoxin limits
“There is a food safety standards, ok, guideline on what is the limit of aflatoxin. Most of the milk in the country is above, ok, that limit.”
Microsoft used customer chat data to train AI models in 2023
“Nobody was doing this in 20, 23, not even Microsoft. Microsoft was using chat data to train the model.”
Rajeev: Micron's Gujarat subsidy equaled a third of India's higher ed budget
“The government of India, ah, spent, ah, 50 percentage of the total capital cost of micron company. For establishing a semiconductor company in Gujarat, 20% from Gujarat, 70 percentage incentive. That means for 16,500 core rupees for a single company. Total exp…”
Bajaj: India has never built SaaS companies reaching million-dollar ACVs
“They don't want to operate in this five, 10, 20,050 thousand ACV. They have aspirations to do hundreds of thousands or millions in ACV. India has never done that.”
Garg: India's GDP growth in dollar terms was slower under Modi than UPA
“But the 10 year period of Narendra Modi from 2014 15 to 2023 24, it has gone up from 1.8 trillion To something close to 3.6 trillion. So it's little less than doubled. So while it was three times in those 10 years in dollar terms, it is about two times. So it …”
Sikri: China armed Pakistan with nuclear weapons while the US looked away
“And they have given Pakistan
[526] Rajiv Sikri: The nuclear weapons.
[528] Rajiv Sikri: They've given them the technology.
[530] Rajiv Sikri: The Chinese gave it to them.
[532] Rajiv Sikri: The Americans winked at it.”
India's socialist policies collapsed GDP per capita from $2,730 to $300
“Because of the socialist policies that we pursued from then on till 1991, when we liberalized and there is an important lesson actually, that's why I'm explaining this. We reduced our GDP per capita from 2730 to 300 dollars.”
Sethi: FTX showed $1B revenue and $600M EBIT when Tribe evaluated it
“Where at the time that we had measured and quantified it, there were about a billion in revenue, about six hundred million in EBIT.”
Kotasthane: India's Lower-Level Government Employees Are Among the World's Highest Paid
“At the lower levels of government beyond apart from the IAS, et cetera, the salaries that people in government get, that is some of the highest in the world.”
Bal Thackeray demanded 100% staff reservation at ISB Mumbai, says Sinha
“There were, they, Bala Saab Thakre asked for reservations and Very heavy reservations. Yeah. 50% for faculty, hundred percent for staff, and I don't remember, for students.”
Kumar: Human lactase enzyme production can be easily revived
“By design, we have a lactase enzyme. Ok, it can be revived. Ok, it can be easily revived.”
Sharma: Tejas Networks will replace Huawei globally within a year
“What if I tell you that a year from now, it'll be Tejas. And if it is Tejas, then you have to take me out for lunch. And if it is not Tejas, I'll take all of you out for lunch, right? As having lost the bed.”
Quick commerce will cap out at 25 percent of total grocery purchasing
“So these are the two strong use cases, and in my view, this will contribute to about 20 to 25% of the grocery buy, and that's it. Rest of it will continue to be planned and continue to be the way it's working”
Menon claims BigBasket will be the only profitable quick-commerce grocery player
“The only one that's going to build a profitable model today is of us because it's not for us. It's an extension of our business, right? I've got the same DC, same supplier, same everything. My supply chain is just getting more and more loaded, which helps me g…”
Lunia: Indian small borrowers have better repayment rates than multinational corporates
“Their repayment rates are far better than multinational corporates today in India.”
Aneja: INSOFE data science programs rank ahead of Stanford and Columbia
“In India, they're number one by far in quality, and globally they're ranked ahead of Columbia, ahead of Stanford, Carnegie Mellon, et cetera, and they're just a private company delivering such high quality programs.”
Kompalli: 50% of consumers and 90% of enterprises use LLMs for purchasing
“So today already there are various reports, including Gartner, that says that 50% of consumers have moved to LLMs to make buying decisions. 90% of enterprises have moved to LLMs, especially in high research categories like education, travel, healthcare, softwa…”
Dalal: Nest shipped the first deep learning algorithm in the wild in 2016
“I worked on Nest camera algorithms, and through this experience, we did ship the first deep learning algorithm in the wild in 2016 on Nest cameras.”
Senpaty: Bank NPAs hit 10% on Tier 2 and Tier 3 education loans
“Whereas if you compare it with banks, once they move out from IITs and go towards other instit institutes, tier two, tier three institutes their NPS shoot up to close to around a 10% sort of level.”
Siddharth: Frontier AI models can autonomously build software systems for weeks
“You're seeing what the coding models today are capable of building end-to-end systems, like coding for days. Sometimes a week.”
AI coding improvements boost model performance across unrelated non-coding tasks
“When the models improve in coding, they have out of domain performance. They also improve in other tasks that have nothing to do with coding for reasons we don't fully understand.”
Saxena: AI startups are hitting $100M ARR in two years under 50 people
“Today with AI, we are seeing companies. It's not impossible to see a company that gets to a hundred million ARR in two years with less than 50 people, right?”
Ambati: AI inference market will reach $1.3T-$1.4T by 2030
“The inference market is one of the largest or so the fastest growing CAGR. So what we are seeing is about 94% CAGR. And then, you know, today, I think around 20, 26, we are looking at an eighty billion dollar sort of market. But soon by 2030 it's gonna be a 1.…”
Keshavachar: Rare-earth PMSM is the only deployed efficient motor tech today
“Today the only way to build an efficient motor is using the rare earth-based magnets. It's called PMSM motor. There's no other technology that is deployed”
Keshavachar: India lacks battery production capacity and imports every cell
“Ah, the third one is batteries, which India still does not have any production capacity. I know they're all coming up, but as of now, every cell that used in India is imported from outside.”
Keshavachar: China's April 2025 rare earth embargo shut down global companies
“They did an embargo on the export of rare earth-based magnets and a few other components in April of 25. So that led to shutting down Several companies all around the world.”
Nair: AI agents make up 28% to 43% of internet traffic
“Agents are approximately 28. By some counts, approximately 43% of the internet traffic right now are agents.”
Jindal: ClickHouse acquired 13-person startup Langfuse for close to $1 billion
“You know, one of our comparator Lang Fuse this company out of Germany, I think they had, like, 13 employees, and they recently got bought by ClickHouse, and I mean, they did not disclose the number, but we believe, like, it's close to a billion dollar acquisit…”
Rekhi: Excelan hired HP exec as CEO for Wall Street IPO optics
“Board is telling me that, yeah, we are going to have to put a CEO here who looked like a wall street. Yeah. Acceptable CEO. Yeah. This is like a star from the central casting. So we hired, you know, this guy from HP as it was general manager of a division and …”
Bajaria: 6sense Is the Only Survivor From Forrester's Predictive Scoring Wave
“So there's a Forrester way for this. You can see B to B predictive lead scoring. It's called, I think B to B predictive lead scoring. You can see it like a lot of logos on it. Sixth Sense is the only company that still exists.”
Dübendorfer: Switzerland has produced 58 unicorns in the last 12 years
“Unicorns, the companies that had a billion dollar valuation or more in the last 12 years, we found 58 of them, where we have a public proof that they reached a one billion valuation.”
Kumar: India's free trade agreements widen its trade deficit
“Now, whenever we have gone in for free trade agreements, you know, say like with South Korea, with the Southeast Asian countries, Australia, we've lost out. Because they have been able to increase, use that free trade agreement to send their exports. We are no…”
Kumar: India's Organized Sector Employment Share Has Stagnated at 6% Since 1990
“So, we had six percent in the organized sector in 1996% today. That means in spite of massive investment in the organized sector, no additional percentage has gone into that area.”
Kumar: 90% of e-Shram registered workers earn under 10,000 rupees monthly
“So, 90% of those who are registered, they are saying that we are earning less than 10,000 rupees per month, right?”
Kumar: India's record forex reserves are dangerously built on debt, not trade
“Next, you said that the debt, the India's foreign exchange reserves are at a high, but that is built on capital flows. That is not built on our trade and current account surpluses. So that means it's built on debt.”
Kumar: India's public sector never exceeded 27% of GDP at peak
“So in India, even at its peak, the public sector is not contributing more than 27% of the GDP. 73% was all private sector. So India has been a capitalist country all through, but with a welfare component, you know.”
Prof. Arun Kumar: India's tax-to-GDP ratio is among the world's lowest at 17%
“So our tax GDP ratio is one of the lowest in the world at 17%. Our direct tax GDP ratio is also one of the lowest in the world at about six and a half percent.”
Prof. Arun Kumar: Indian states receive only 30-35% of central taxes despite 41% mandate
“And of that, 41% is supposed to go to the states as per the finance commission and so on, right? But the way the center collects the CES and the other things, only 30% is going to the, or 35% is going to the states, right?”
Indian businesses face 6,000 regulations that carry criminal penalties, per ORF study
“There is a study, Siddharth, that came out, which I want you and your viewers to read. It's called Jailed for Doing Business. It was done by ORF, Observer Research Foundation in Delhi. Look at the 6000 regulations that companies have to face, and some of them …”
Garg: Open-source models trail proprietary SOTA models by only 6-12 months
“I also think that open source has demonstrated that while it can't compete with the SOTA models, it's only six to 12 months away.”
Makhija: Unicommerce is the only profitable player among its top five rivals
“Although in our ecosystem, we are the only profitable player as of now amongst the top five players”
Sikri: US blockage of WTO tribunal eliminated appellate dispute resolution
“For example, the Americans held up the appellate tribunal of the WTO. So now there is no appellate tribunal to which any country can go in case they have a problem.”
Sikri: China is recalling technicians working on iPhone production in India
“They're calling back their engineers, technicians who are working on iPhone production because India is emerging as an iPhone thing.”
Sikri: India withheld SCO defense endorsement over Pahalgam terror attack omission
“We did not endorse the Iran, their statement on Iran being attacked by Israel because they did not endorse Pahlgahm. And we did not sign on to the SCO defense minister because Pahlkam was not mentioned.”
Atluri: Cost-plus contracts led Lockheed and Boeing to launch almost no rockets
“Lockheed and Boeing had a cost plus contract model. And how many rockets flew? Almost no, almost none flew from them. Because if the moment you rocket start flying, the project has to be closed down.”
Atluri: Parrikar Lifted Tatra Ban to Fix 70% Grounded Military Trucks
“The Tatra trucks, there was one truck, ah, that was being used because they were blacklisted by the, ah, AK Anthony, the defense minister, ah, ah, preceding the, this government. And so he said, because there were some allegations of corruption by that company…”