why aren't all 204 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Western agencies funded India's first ultrasound imports to curb population growth
“They basically, these whole bunch of these Rockefeller, Ford, even some UN agencies were involved in this, and they basically imported with their funding ultrasound machines. And they basically said that, look, this is great. Why don't you allow parents to act…”
Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: Most milk in India exceeds regulatory aflatoxin limits
“There is a food safety standards, ok, guideline on what is the limit of aflatoxin. Most of the milk in the country is above, ok, that limit.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bajaj: India has never built SaaS companies reaching million-dollar ACVs
“They don't want to operate in this five, 10, 20,050 thousand ACV. They have aspirations to do hundreds of thousands or millions in ACV. India has never done that.”
Assertion Contradicted
India's socialist policies collapsed GDP per capita from $2,730 to $300
“Because of the socialist policies that we pursued from then on till 1991, when we liberalized and there is an important lesson actually, that's why I'm explaining this. We reduced our GDP per capita from 2730 to 300 dollars.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: Human lactase enzyme production can be easily revived
“By design, we have a lactase enzyme. Ok, it can be revived. Ok, it can be easily revived.”
Assertion Contradicted
Siddharth: Frontier AI models can autonomously build software systems for weeks
“You're seeing what the coding models today are capable of building end-to-end systems, like coding for days. Sometimes a week.”
Assertion Contradicted
Keshavachar: Rare-earth PMSM is the only deployed efficient motor tech today
“Today the only way to build an efficient motor is using the rare earth-based magnets. It's called PMSM motor. There's no other technology that is deployed”
Assertion Contradicted
Keshavachar: India lacks battery production capacity and imports every cell
“Ah, the third one is batteries, which India still does not have any production capacity. I know they're all coming up, but as of now, every cell that used in India is imported from outside.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bajaria: 6sense Is the Only Survivor From Forrester's Predictive Scoring Wave
“So there's a Forrester way for this. You can see B to B predictive lead scoring. It's called, I think B to B predictive lead scoring. You can see it like a lot of logos on it. Sixth Sense is the only company that still exists.”
Assertion Contradicted
Atluri: Cost-plus contracts led Lockheed and Boeing to launch almost no rockets
“Lockheed and Boeing had a cost plus contract model. And how many rockets flew? Almost no, almost none flew from them. Because if the moment you rocket start flying, the project has to be closed down.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanyal: No country has ever recovered from sub-replacement fertility rates
“No country in the world has once their fertility rate has fallen below replacement has been able to push it back up.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bajaj: 90% of global semiconductor chip design goes through India
“If you look at semiconductors, 90%, I don't know if you know this statistic, 90% of chip design goes through India, including the Chinese trips.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sharma: Relying On Visa And Mastercard Means A 1% Foreign Tax
“The fact is that when your economy is reliant on Visa MasterCard, you're paying a one person tax to a third country, right?”
Assertion Contradicted
Garg: Under 5% of Indian Farmers Earn 60K-70K Rupees Per Hectare
“60 to 70,000 per hectare is my challenge. Hardly five percent of the farmers in India will be earning by doing everything in the agriculture.”
Assertion Contradicted
Intermediaries capture 90% of value from Indian farmers under APMC rules
“Because of this phenomenon of hundred rupees of value added, let's say in, you know, in farm produce, 90 rupees is cornered by the intermediary. The farmer, small farmer gets only 10 rupees.”
Assertion Contradicted
Krishna: Indian government and PSUs are the biggest non-payers of MSMEs
“Government is the biggest part is on one side of it where many PSUs and governments have not paid MSMEs.”
Assertion Contradicted
Nadhani: Indian SaaS engineering offers only ~1.5x cost leverage over US
“R and D you have 1.5 X leverage India to us engineers. It's not massive. Like let's say not an SF engineer, but somewhere in between engineer, like a Midwest or something.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bagri: Roughly 40% of all personal loans in India fund travel
“So the number of personal loans which are taken for travel is almost 40% if I'm not wrong.”
Assertion Contradicted
Garg: Only a handful of Indian tech companies exceed $30M–$40M ARR
“A lot of Indian companies are, have started to reach A million to million type of ARRs, but have not a lot of companies beyond a few that you can count on your hands are beyond the 30, forty million ARR today.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sachdeva: Delhi High Court ordered ByteDance to stop scraping ShareChat
“We in fact went to Delhi High Court. If you can Google ShareChat versus Hello or ByteDance. In fact, Delhi Highcore told, told them to not do this, not scrape, and in fact, change their app.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: Soil organic carbon across Indian farmlands is under 1%
“All the lands in India today, soil organic carbon is less than one percent.”
Assertion Contradicted
Pai: India exports more software than Saudi Arabia exports oil
“And we export more software than Saudi Arabia export soil.”
Assertion Contradicted
India Has More Smartphone Owners Than Active Digital Payment Users
“India is actually, if you think about it, it's the only country in the world where, ah, you know, more people have smartphones today than they are actively doing payments or digital transactions or you know, or even actively using bank accounts or have credit …”
Assertion Contradicted
Mammography fails for women under 45 due to dense breast tissue
“It does not work on women under 45 years of age because what we call as dense press, you know, The kind of fibroglandial tissue that many of the men who are like about what if I also have this and also younger women definitely have this. So, so the whole breas…”
Assertion Contradicted
Bajpai: ixigo train app downloads probably exceed all travel competitors combined
“If you aggregate all other players in the category and you look at it, it's a good trainer. We probably do more downloads than all other players in the travel category put together.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sidana: The Average Venture Capital Firm Generates Flat or Negative Returns
“General belief is that the average venture capital firm has either zero or perhaps even negative returns net of fees. So as an asset class, venture capital on average Is not a profitable business.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sankar: Less than 10% of human job performance stems from cognitive intelligence
“And in fact, less than 10% of human job performance is explained through cognitive intelligence. Everything else is Context and how you learn on the job and how you act in real life.”
Assertion Contradicted
Gupta: We coined the term 'cloud security posture management' in 2017
“We actually coined that word back in 2017, cloud security posture management, and the whole idea was getting that kind of visibility, and then we are also helping them with taking an action and things like that, and it was super easy.”
Assertion Contradicted
Agarwal: Claude Opus 4.6 leads Portkey volume despite being the costliest model
“For the first time, we saw four, six Opus, which is the costliest model there is right now, is at the top of the charts in terms of number of tokens spent.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rajagopal: Every biscuit brand in India contains palm oil
“Go and look at any biscuit brand. Big, medium, small. Every single biscuit brand will have palm oil in it.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: Voice AI inference currently costs 1,000x more than text
“Today, the cost of voice is like a thousand times more than the cost of text. We want to like bring it at par basically.”
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: Largest Indian non-RMG game now generates $65M-$70M revenue
“Today is 65, seventy million dollar revenue.”
Assertion Contradicted
Jadeja: India Is the Only Country with Open Doors to Russia and Ukraine
“India is the only country that has its foot in the door open with Russia and with Ukraine.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sikri: Donetsk and Luhansk Regions Are 90% Russian-Speaking
“Or the Donetsk and Lugansk regions are all 90% Russian, Russian speaking.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rajeev: Kerala trained 200,000 public school teachers on using AI tools
“We gave training to two lakhs public school teachers on AI, how to use AI tools and agents for teaching.”
Assertion Contradicted
Manickam: India makes zero LEDs and imports 100% from China
“We don't make any LED in India. It's a hundred percent imported from China.”
Assertion Contradicted
Garg: India adds 2M working-age people yearly but creates only 1M jobs
“India is producing two million young people are coming into the job age every year, right, and we are not creating enough jobs for them. We are creating one million jobs probably, right, by the data”
Assertion Contradicted
Sharma: Indian OTAs are legally passenger agents obliged to show all flights
“So I don't know how many people in India know that when you buy a ticket from make my trip Yatra or clear trip or any of these place, they are passengers agents. So you pay a convenience fee. The airline doesn't pay them. And that means that when Akasa air as …”
Assertion Contradicted
Rangarajan Promised Bank Unions Transaction Caps on Early Computers in 1990s
“You know, there was phenomenal opposition from the banks and he had to make a promise to the banks at one time that we're going to computerize the banks, but don't worry. We'll fix it so that the computer can only handle so many transactions per day so that it…”
Assertion Contradicted
Subramanian: Essential Commodities Act treats agricultural storage as hoarding
“Every form of storage in agriculture is treated as hoarding as part of the Essential Commodities Act.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: India Has Never Crossed 3.8% GDP on Public Education
“We've never as a nation crossed 3.8% on public education. So that's very low compared to what we need to spend. Similarly on health, we should spend three percent of GDP on public health. We've never crossed 1.3% on public health.”
Assertion Contradicted
Doddala: Only about 300 US public companies are currently worth over $1B
“If you look at all the public companies in the US today companies that are worth more than a billion is about 300 companies.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ahluwalia: Majority of Indian MBBS Doctors Over 50 Years Emigrated Abroad
“The start is between three million to five million doctors, MBBS, but majority of them in the last 50 years have left India for better opportunities in US, UK, Australia, and now even Middle East.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ahluwalia: No Indian company is a top-three player in any international market
“There's no case study of an Indian company till now, which has made its mark yet on international markets, being a top three player in any other market.”
Assertion Contradicted
Srikantaiah: 7.5% GDP growth drives a 7.5% increase in water consumption
“If the economy grows at seven and a half percent GDP, water consumption also increases at seven and a half percent.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ghosh: Top 10 US Software Company CEOs Were All Born and Educated in India
“Look at the number of CEOs in the top 10 software companies of USA. Guess what? Yeah. All actually born and studied in India.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: Indian dairy farmers do not inject cows with oxytocin for milk
“Technically, ok, if you really look at in Indian dairy industry in general, so nobody is going to inject an oxytocin to cow to produce more milk. No farmer is doing it. That's the fact.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: Dairy is the cheapest protein source known to humans
“Dairy is the cheapest source of protein known to human. It's the cheapest.”