Kashyap Chanchani, founder of Rainmaker Group, discusses the long-term market potential and valuation upside for Indian quick commerce players like Swiggy, Zepto, and Blinkit.
Insight
Chanchani: Indian Markets Can Absorb $80B–$100B in Equity Annually
“So you know, with our four trillion market cap, our capacity to absorb companies every year is probably about, you know, say two to two and a half percent of the market cap, which is anywhere between say, 80 to a hundred odd billion dollars.”
Prediction Partly held up
Chanchani: Indian startup IPOs will cap out at $4B this year
“So anywhere between so what is said is that for FYI, this particular financial year we'll end up having IPOs around one lakh crore, which is what? About 12 odd billion dollars? Just twelve billion dollars, right? So what does that leave for us? Maybe about, yo…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chanchani: Indian startups will create hundreds of thousands of wealthy employees
“I think that third wave is being brought about by our startups where, you know, we'll probably end up seeing, you know, lakhs of people actually you know, becoming rich. By being simply employees rather than, you know, becoming founders”
Insight
Chanchani: Founder-led companies clearly outperform professional CEOs on returns
“When it comes to a trade off between a founder and a professional CEO, I mean, if you look at the track record of, you know, the hundreds of companies, you know, in US, in China, in India, I think the choice is very, very clear. When you look at the track reco…”
Assertion Supported
Chanchani: Listed Indian Startups Total ~$70B of India's $4T Market Cap
“Would be close to about seventy-odd billion dollars in terms of evaluation, Siddharth, from about a four trillion dollar valuation that the Indian markets have at large.”
Insight
Chanchani: Startups over $100M are strictly priced on public market metrics
“Today, anywhere between say, you know, 20, 23 to right now, and maybe for the foreseeable future as well. Any company, any startup that is being valued at more than a hundred million dollars. I mean, forget about, you know, our unicorns. They are all being val…”