AI investor Vamshi Ambati analyzes whether incumbent enterprise software giants or AI startups will capture the enterprise AI market.
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Ambati: AI foundation models will capture more than 10% of software
“We are starting to see more evidence that models are going to own that more than the 10%, ah, you know, whether it's the new plugins that, ah, you know, Claude has released that shook up the whole SecOps market.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ambati: Advanced AI models will become more expensive as compute demands increase
“I think the, they're gonna get more expensive as the models get better the compute needs are gonna, you know, increase, and then you're gonna get better.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ambati: Base token prices will fall while latest frontier models get pricier
“So there is a time in the next year and two where we'll start to see these directionally, yes all the token prices are going down. But as the models are maturing, we are starting to see that, you know, the opposite effect as well, where, you know, the cost is …”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ambati: AI inference market will reach $1.3T-$1.4T by 2030
“The inference market is one of the largest or so the fastest growing CAGR. So what we are seeing is about 94% CAGR. And then, you know, today, I think around 20, 26, we are looking at an eighty billion dollar sort of market. But soon by 2030 it's gonna be a 1.…”
Insight
Ambati: Enterprise AI deals are won on trust, not model accuracy
“I would say enterprises don't optimize for accuracy of a model, right? So they're more so optimizing for reliability and trust. So it's very it's very, I think, in today's age with this new, ah, level of capability that the models have, getting the accuracy ri…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ambati: Current spike in AI voice and support automation will fade
“Anything that has a human-to-human touchpoint should be the last one that should get automated. Today we're just probably seeing that first, ah, sort of spike, but then that should probably, you know, die out soon, I feel.”