why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 14 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Open · timeframe Feb 2028
ZURU founder is building an automated house-building factory larger than Tesla's
“He now is building the largest factory in the world, bigger than the Tesla factory, bigger than all that, where robots are going to build houses. Autonomously.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2021
BitClout pre-allocated $55,000 to Shaan Puri's unclaimed profile
“And so when I went to the website without ever having used the damn thing, my account had 55,000 dollars sitting in it.”
Assertion Open · timeframe May 2029
Alpha high schooler will publish as lead researcher in Nature journal
“We have a student who's going to be published in nature. She will be the first school student as a lead researcher published in nature.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Weaver: Apex Scaled to $3B Revenue and $500M Earnings in Six Years
“Three billion of revenue, five hundred million of earnings. And we, I think importantly that, that happened without us putting in any additional money.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Coogan: SemiAnalysis Is Launching an Investment Fund and Credit Ratings
“They're also launching a fund allegedly according to the information to invest in both semiconductor stocks and startups, and they're already doing angel investing. And then also they're going to do credit ratings.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Puri: William Hockey self-funded banking platform Column to $200M in revenue
“He actually bought a bank for, I think, sixty million dollars of his own money, and then he started this and he basically uses it as a the underlying bank under Mercury, under Ramp, under Brex, under all these companies, and so he and I think they're doing, th…”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Nov 2022
Wilkinson: Chamath stopped comparing Social Capital to Berkshire after underperforming
“In his annual shareholder letters, he would he would compare himself to Berkshire Hathaway. So he would track social capital's results versus Berkshire. And then one year he just stopped. And I think it was the one year that he didn't actually beat them. I thi…”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2021
Shaan Puri: Andrew Chen and Marc Andreessen blocked me on Twitter
“So I was surprised when he blocked me, he, him and Mark Andreessen blocked me. So both of whom, you know, followed before and then went straight to block without like, you know, anything in between I'm cool with that.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Sep 2026
Puri: Peter Thiel walked away if PayPal staff discussed off-topic work
“And people were like, did he really do that? And Keith, you know, Keith Rabolli was like, yeah, he would literally do that. He would, if you tried to bring up anything else besides your problem, he would just turn around and he would just walk away.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2024
Dharmesh Shah built the first HubSpot prototype with freelance Egyptian developers
“The first version of HubSpot was built by Dharmesh and these two guys in Egypt that he found through found online. Put a test out there. And Far Maui, and I forgot the other guy's name, and they built, like, the prototype of, those three built the prototype of…”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2021
Jack Butcher's unclaimed BitClout profile accumulated roughly $150,000 in creator coin
“About one 50, I think, last time I looked at it.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Jan 2026
Robinhood's founder ran a failed Kickstarter to document building the startup
“Vlad from Robin Hood, when Robin Hood was getting started, he put up a Kickstarter. Saying, hey, I'm going to try to build this company that's going to change the way the financial markets work. And if you guys fund 10,000 dollars, we'll film it. Because how c…”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Nov 2024
Puri: Martha Stewart's company lost money almost every year from 2003-2015
“And then it says from 2003 to 2015, which is like three presidents.
It says consecutive annual losses every year, except for one year.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2021
Shaan Puri sold podcast airtime as an NFT for 11.55 ETH.
“The auction closed, and I think it made 33,000 dollars. So I think it closed at 11.55 ETH which is about 30, 32, 33,000 dollars.”