why aren't all 17 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Yanowitz: The best way for Bitcoin to really work is US collapse
“The best way for Bitcoin to really work is for the U S to collapse.”
Assertion Contradicted
Yanowitz: CoinDesk event attendance fell 80% in 2019, nearly destroying the company
“CoinDesk almost died in 2019 because of that reason. They had like, I don't know, 10,000 plus people in 2018. And then in 2019, they fell to like 2000 people, right? They fell 80% and that almost wiped out their whole business.”
Opinion
Yanowitz: Bizabo dominates enterprise events despite a terrible product
“It's an enterprise events platform. It's like, it's, they sell it like SaaS. It's like 20 K a year, 30 K a year subscription. You host all your platform, your events on them. They don't take a cut of the fee, of the ticket sales. I don't think it's just a, but…”
Disclosure
Yanowitz kept 100% of his liquid portfolio in crypto until recently
“Of my liquid portfolio, I'm, until very recently, I was a hundred percent in crypto.”
Insight
Yanowitz: No single person ever got wealthy through diversification
“No single person ever got wealthy through diversification.”
Insight
Yanowitz: Most media companies fail because creators cannot sell
“I would argue though, like the problem with most media companies and the reason they don't work is because they're started by folks who can't monetize. So they're usually started by a podcast host or a newsletter writer in 20, 23, and they're brilliant at cont…”
Insight
Yanowitz: Small events have bad business models; profitability requires massive scale
“The thing that a lot of entrepreneurs get wrong with events is the business model of small events is a really good experience for attendees. It's really fun. You bring people together, good community building. It is a shit business model. So the kind of secret…”
Insight
Yanowitz: First-time founders almost never start with a grand vision
“Everybody thinks that founders had this vision from day one. But if you talk to founders who have built big companies, 99% of them do not. They do, they never did at the beginning. Second-time founders actually do, I've noticed. Like, second-time founders will…”
Insight
Yanowitz: Starting a business offers more safety and security than employment
“I actually think there's more Safety and security and doing something that you own and where you can like manage a hundred percent of the risk. Like you can be the best employee somewhere. And if all hell breaks loose and like the company's doesn't have a good…”
Prediction Held up
Yanowitz: MakerDAO will generate $100M in revenue in 2023
“So MakerDAO, for example. They'll do a hundred million of revenue this year.”
Opinion
Yanowitz: Anyone remaining in crypto during 90% downturns is not a scammer
“Anyone who's still in crypto is not a scam artist. It's to the, no one operating in a market that's 90% down trying to scam people.”
Disclosure
Yanowitz: Blockworks raised $12M at $135M valuation after exceeding $20M revenue
“Last year we had a goal of
twenty million in revenue, and we pretty decently exceeded that.
and we've been profitable since day one.
So, yeah, we bootstrapped the business for the first five and a half years, and then back in April or May, we took we raised …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yanowitz: Blockworks generated over $10M from Permissionless conference in 2022
“Last year we did, like, well over ten million from permissionless.”
Insight
Yanowitz: Half of all conference tickets sell within four weeks of the event
“50% of tickets get sold in the four weeks leading up to a conference.”
Disclosure
Yanowitz: Built 4,600-Person MLM Downline In College
“Ended up having 4600 people in my downline had like a thousand people in France.”
Insight
Yanowitz: Startups never get easier because founders constantly optimize for max pain
“This idea that it gets easier as you grow, right? That's I think anyone startups are like this weird or being a founder is this weird thing where like, I think what they, you kind of hold constant, the rate at which you can tolerate problems and Everything els…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yanowitz: Blockworks lost 80% of revenue overnight when COVID hit
“Then COVID hit, and 80% of our revenue got wiped out overnight because we were, 80% of revenue came from events”