The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2034
Pompliano: Bitcoin will protect corporate purchasing power better than cash over 10-20 years
“I think it is riskier for a company to sit with five hundred million dollars in US dollar cash on their balance sheet than five hundred million dollars worth of Bitcoin. And the reason being that or maybe the one clarifier is if you have a long-term oriented p…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 16:10 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Shareholders will revolt against public companies holding massive cash reserves
“My expectation is actually that shareholders at some point will start turning on some of these public companies that have tons of cash and saying like, Hey, if we're sitting there with, you know, Warren Buffett sitting with a hundred billion dollars of cash, l…”
Anthony Pompliano Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 16:46 The Man Who Owns 1% Of ALL Bitcoin
Opinion
Shah: The odds of Balaji's $1M Bitcoin bet hitting are very low
“If I were a betting person, I would not bet that the odds are what do you think they are? Could happen, but nowhere near the probability that that he's suggesting.”
Dharmesh Shah Mar 30, 2023 ▶ 1:14:44 Brainstorming ChatGPT Business Ideas With A Billionaire | ft. Dharmesh Shah (#438)
Assertion Supported
Dollar-euro parity and VAT refunds created a 35% luxury arbitrage opportunity
“Cause the dollar and the Euro like got to parody and the luxury stores hadn't changed the prices. So basically like things were always typically priced higher in dollars than in euros. or whatever. So I might get that backwards, but like you, the Louis Vuitto…”
Shaan Puri Sep 15, 2022 ▶ 53:25 How Successful Startups Got Their First 1000 Customers (Uber, Product Hunt & More) (#362)
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