The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 67 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dorsey Fabricated Twitter's Firetruck Dispatch Origin Story After the Fact
“And as far as Ev knew, Jack had come up with the idea himself, you know, when he was a little kid listening to fire trucks. That was a story that was added later.”
Nick Bilton Feb 26, 2025 ▶ 28:57 We talk to the guy who knows Silicon Valley’s darkest secrets
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dorsey Gave Ev Williams an Ultimatum to Fire Noah Glass
“Jack, Who is best friends with Noah goes into Ev's office one day and he says, either you get rid of Noah or I quit.”
Nick Bilton Feb 26, 2025 ▶ 28:35 We talk to the guy who knows Silicon Valley’s darkest secrets
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dorsey Reaped $12B While Twitter Co-Founder Noah Glass Got Nothing
“Jack is worth twelve billion dollars, give or take. Noah Glass is worth about a zero dollars, ok? He never got anything. Ev gave him something, and he had to live off that and whatnot. If you're worth twelve billion dollars, give the guy ten million.”
Nick Bilton Feb 26, 2025 ▶ 31:43 We talk to the guy who knows Silicon Valley’s darkest secrets
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Noah Glass Conceived Twitter Before Jack Dorsey Took the Credit
“That's what it becomes, and if you, if Jack Dorsey had told the real story about Twitter, that his best friend Noah Glass really was the one that came up with most of it, and he stole it, you know, from him, and like, and that, that place was a shit show, and …”
Nick Bilton Feb 26, 2025 ▶ 22:57 We talk to the guy who knows Silicon Valley’s darkest secrets
Insight
Galloway: VCs launch smear campaigns against critics threatening their profits
“I would say don't never get in between a venture capitalist and their second million, because they will take to Twitter and call you a plagiarist or accuse you of having done terrible things at NYU, which you've never Ever been accused of, much less people hav…”
Scott Galloway Oct 24, 2023 ▶ 38:00 If I Could Start Over Again, This Is What I’d Do To Get Rich - Scott Galloway
Assertion Supported
Puri: Bret Taylor forced Elon Musk to complete Twitter acquisition
“He was the board member that basically forced Elon to stick to his offer. He stood up to Elon and basically forced Elon to buy and got an amazing deal for the Twitter shareholders.”
Shaan Puri Nov 27, 2023 ▶ 14:04 Finding +$1M Businesses From Weird Trends (#523)
Opinion
Coogan: Elon Musk's Twitter takeover officially ended cancel culture for founders
“Now that Elon bought Twitter and kind of just like caused enough chaos, like you can just say whatever you want. And there's like, no, I, I've been telling every, every founder I know, like cancel culture is over.”
John Coogan Sep 19, 2023 ▶ 3:05 Brainstorming +$1M Business Ideas With Soylent's Co-Founder | ft. John Coogan (#496)
Assertion Partly supported
Puri: Musk Ordered Twitter Engineers to Print Out Months of Code
“He told every engineer to print out all the code that they've committed and they've written in the last three or six months and have it ready for review.”
Shaan Puri Nov 1, 2022 ▶ 8:31 8 Profitable Side Hustles For The Halloween & Christmas Season (#381)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shaan Puri: Most future internet content will be auto-generated by AI
“Like it's not unreasonable that like most of the content you read on the internet is just going to be written by computers. Like you're going to go on Twitter. It's just going to be auto-generated content from brands and people that are, you know, just pluggin…”
Shaan Puri Jul 19, 2022 ▶ 52:50 Our Producer Had A 90-Minute Phone Call With Mr Beast…
Opinion
Puri: Taylor Lorenz builds brand by picking Twitter fights with tech founders
“Her brand of self-promoting herself as a journalist is confrontation. She gets in confrontations with Keith Raboi, with Balaji, with Naval, with whoever, right? She just goes and picks fights on Twitter with Marc Andreessen. And so she goes to the biggest name…”
Shaan Puri May 20, 2021 ▶ 11:44 How Course Businesses Work & How Irish Pubs as a Service is Making Millions | My First Million #183
Insight
Pompliano: Top content creators post spontaneously rather than using structured marketing calendars
“Whether it's Twitter, whether it's podcasts, whatever, the people who tend to be good at it, don't think of it and like sit down and like create a marketing calendar. Like, I dunno, they're like taking a poop and they pull out their phone and they start tweeti…”
Anthony Pompliano Nov 29, 2023 ▶ 24:44 3 Business Ideas You Should Start in 2024 (ft. Pomp) (#524)
Insight
Strange and irrational user behavior often signals the biggest opportunities
“When you see that weird behavior that you don't understand, The thing is not to, the thing not to do is label it and write it off. It's to lean in and try to understand it. He's like, so I saw that people were like, why would you text out what you're eating ri…”
Shaan Puri Oct 17, 2023 ▶ 1:01:52 Our 2020 Predictions For OpenAI Came True… Here’s What’s Next (#508)
Opinion
Sam Parr: Chasing social media popularity is empty nonsense
“In general, I think that creating businesses based off your, or like getting popular on Twitter and Instagram and things like that, I think it's incredibly empty feeling for most people. And I think it's complete nonsense and your time would be spent building …”
Sam Parr Sep 29, 2023 ▶ 18:36 How I Live On $25,000/Month In New York City
Opinion
Coogan: Keith Rabois is aggressive on Twitter to stop misinformation spreading
“I think a lot of it is just like holding the line on like when he sees something that's like not true, he doesn't want it to spread, and so he just like shuts it down like really aggressively.”
John Coogan Sep 19, 2023 ▶ 33:35 Brainstorming +$1M Business Ideas With Soylent's Co-Founder | ft. John Coogan (#496)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Parr predicts a billion-dollar company will be built from Twitter
“We've seen billion dollar companies start on Facebook. We've seen that on Instagram. No one's done it on Twitter, but it will happen.”
Sam Parr May 16, 2023 ▶ 52:28 How A YouTube Car Reviewer Sold His Company For $80M | Doug DeMuro (#456)
Disclosure
Shkreli: In talks with Twitter to get his suspended account unbanned
“I'm actually starting to talk to Twitter. I'm still leaving. My old Twitter account is at Morton Shkreli. It's in the process, hopefully being on band”
Martin Shkreli Apr 20, 2023 ▶ 1:38:38 Martin Shkreli Reveals How He Made His First $100 Million (#445)
Insight
Shaan Puri: Technical architecture alone cannot drive social app adoption
“If it's Twitter, but the database is different, I'm out. I don't care about that. That's not what draws people in. I don't, that doesn't mean it's not a good idea. Great. Do it differently under the hood, but it has to result in something different that the pe…”
Shaan Puri Mar 3, 2023 ▶ 18:26 Andrew Tate's 3rd Month in Prison, Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury, & Covid Lab Leak Theory (#426)
Insight
Puri: Twitter's Growth Is Capped Because It Only Serves Power Users
“That's the core problem with Twitter is that the core needed addresses is only for like people like us. And like, it doesn't address the need for a whole bunch of other people on the planet. And if they wanted it to be more valuable, then they would need to do…”
Shaan Puri Nov 1, 2022 ▶ 12:28 8 Profitable Side Hustles For The Halloween & Christmas Season (#381)
Insight
Wilkinson: Secretly rooting against someone's success reveals your mimetic rivals
“The way to figure out who your models are as well is actually to ask kind of an odd question. You say, who do I not want to succeed, right? And maybe it's deep within you, right? But it might be that guy on Twitter who, you know, you're friendly with and every…”
Andrew Wilkinson Oct 20, 2021 ▶ 47:37 Dopamine Fasts, Cruise Ship Investing, and Elon vs Bezos with Andrew Wilkinson, Co-Founder of Tiny
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Parr: Keith Wasserman manages nearly $2B and 5x'd fund via Twitter
“Keith currently has close to two billion dollars in assets under management for his real estate deal. And he said that he's, so he's got a thousand investors, he said, and Twitter five X his fund.”
Sam Parr Sep 15, 2021 ▶ 23:15 Why You Should Take a Think Week Like Bill Gates | My First Million #218
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Parr predicts long-form blog posts will return as a major opportunity
“I think longer form blog posts are going to be coming. Cause everyone's like, I want to start a newsletter. I want to get popular on Twitter. I'm like, all right, great. Do that. I actually think that there could be a bigger opportunity to create a more in-dep…”
Sam Parr Jul 21, 2021 ▶ 12:30 A Breakdown of Trendy New Businesses & Boring 9 Figure Businesses | My First Million #202
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Puri predicts Twitter and LinkedIn will be decentralized in 1-10 years
“This is what the next Twitter, LinkedIn, Facebooks are going to look like in either one or 10 years.”
Shaan Puri Jul 7, 2021 ▶ 44:07 Frameworks to Become a Billionaire with HubSpot Co-Founder Dharmesh Shah | My First Million #197
Insight
Held: Missing a day of tweeting loses algorithmic relevancy on Twitter
“Consistency, I think is the number one thing that people forget. I have not missed tweeting a day in three years. If you do, you lose your spot in the relevancy engine with Twitter.”
Dan Held Jul 2, 2021 ▶ 37:31 Who Really Created Bitcoin & Other Crypto Startup Ideas | My First Million #196
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Puri: Platform-creator value split will move toward 50/50
“And that seems to be flipping where, where either new platforms are going to come out where the creators own it, or the value is going to accrue off platform in a bigger way than it did originally when it was like, I think the value accrued like 99, one 99% to…”
Shaan Puri Jul 2, 2021 ▶ 51:05 Who Really Created Bitcoin & Other Crypto Startup Ideas | My First Million #196
Insight
Maples: 90% of early-stage venture profits come from pivoted startup ideas
“90% of your profits come from things that started out different, and so my theory on that is the way to succeed is to realize that a startup isn't a company at all, and that it's the insights and the founders, and you're, you make fun of your ability to predic…”
Mike Maples Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 29:36 4 Big Trends and $0 to $1 Billion Startup Idea Frameworks | My First Million #191
Disclosure
Balaji stops hiring from Stanford, Harvard, and MIT, recruiting via Twitter instead
“I don't hire actually from Stanford or Harvard or MIT or whatever anymore. You know where I hire from? Twitter.”
Balaji Srinivasan May 5, 2021 ▶ 2:27:14 Balaji on How to Fix the Media, Cloud Communities & Crypto | MFM #178
Opinion
Balaji: Hacker News and Twitter link feeds fragment users' brains
“If you go and look at Hacker News, for example, or Twitter, there's something that you can't unsee once it's been pointed out, which is those 30 links are like a Jackson Pollock blah on, on, on, on the page, right? It's just, it's like guaranteed to just fragm…”
Balaji Srinivasan May 5, 2021 ▶ 18:55 Balaji on How to Fix the Media, Cloud Communities & Crypto | MFM #178
Insight
Srinivasan: Instagram is for outdoors people; Twitter is for depressed intellectuals
“Instagram is for people who go outside. Twitter is for depressed intellectuals.”
Balaji Srinivasan May 5, 2021 ▶ 1:17:22 Balaji on How to Fix the Media, Cloud Communities & Crypto | MFM #178
Opinion
Balaji: Major social networks offer almost zero creator monetization
“There's zero creator monetization for the most part in these major social networks. I'm not saying, okay, not totally zero. You can put link in bio at Instagram and there's some stuff, but it has lagged, right?”
Balaji Srinivasan May 5, 2021 ▶ 13:44 Balaji on How to Fix the Media, Cloud Communities & Crypto | MFM #178
Assertion Supported
Wilkinson: Tiny raised an $11M rolling fund in four hours via Twitter
“We literally were like, we tweeted it out as like an afterthought and we raised it in like four hours.”
Andrew Wilkinson Apr 23, 2021 ▶ 20:26 How to Network with Billionaires with Andrew Wilkinson | My First Million Ep. #174
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2021
Shaan Puri: Andrew Chen and Marc Andreessen blocked me on Twitter
“So I was surprised when he blocked me, he, him and Mark Andreessen blocked me. So both of whom, you know, followed before and then went straight to block without like, you know, anything in between I'm cool with that.”
Shaan Puri Mar 26, 2021 ▶ 2:27 MFM #164: BitClout Explained & How To Successfully Angel Invest
Insight
Shaan Puri: Provocative social posts succeed whether people get outraged or apply
“If you get mad, I win. If you know, like if you take it seriously and you apply, I win. Like it's, I win. I win no matter what. As long as I don't get completely canceled, I win.”
Shaan Puri Mar 19, 2021 ▶ 58:18 MFM #162: Why Clubhouse Will Fail
Insight
Shaan Puri: Twitter growth relies on rare viral hits, not daily consistency
“Dude, that's the way that Twitter works though, is like, you think it goes against like all the conventional good advice, which is just like, you know, be consistent, put up content all the time and like, you know, try to hit, like hit a bunch of singles. And …”
Shaan Puri Mar 19, 2021 ▶ 6:07 MFM #162: Why Clubhouse Will Fail
Assertion Partly supported
Bonforte: Yahoo attempted to acquire Twitter for $19M during its early struggles
“And Jack Dorsey, I knew him when it was Odeo and spent time with him, and Twitter was failing, and we were, I was trying to buy it for nineteen million dollars at Yahoo, like, so we've met all these people.”
Jeff Bonforte Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 54:50 How two straight guys bought Grindr and made $2B
Opinion
Puri: Most Tech Twitter Content Is an Intelligence Contest, Not Storytelling
“Most business tech Twitter writing goes, is it, it's an intelligence contest. And I was telling a story.”
Shaan Puri May 24, 2024 ▶ 24:51 How To Master Storytelling ft. David Perell
Disclosure
Gary Vee will repost 100 top YouTube videos to Twitter
“I think literally have a meeting today where I'm going to post my hundred most successful YouTube videos on Twitter here over the course of the next couple months. Try to stagger it a little bit, because it's just very clear that Twitter is going to push it, r…”
Gary Vaynerchuk (Gary Vee) May 22, 2024 ▶ 7:35 How Gary Vee Predicts The Next Facebook (Every Time)
Assertion Contradicted
DuckDuckGo is a more popular US website than Yahoo, Wikipedia, and Twitter
“It's more popular than Yahoo and Wikipedia and Twitter.”
Shaan Puri Feb 7, 2024 ▶ 39:23 The Dark Story Behind Pornhub’s $1.5B Business Empire
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Puri: Six viral tweets drove most of my first 400K followers
“I basically had like six viral tweets that grew me to like almost 400,000 followers. It was literally just six tweets, basically. The bulk of the growth. It's like the clubhouse one, the metaverse one, this one about Elon Musk, this other one.”
Shaan Puri Sep 7, 2023 ▶ 1:14:14 Buffett’s Money Wisdom, Galloway’s $100M Advice & Why Newsletters Suck (#493)
Insight
Puri: Social media is unenjoyable for people who take it too seriously
“I think a lot of people don't enjoy social media because they don't treat it like a game. You enjoy games. You don't enjoy things that are ultra serious.”
Shaan Puri Oct 12, 2022 ▶ 37:15 How To Get Started With Building An Audience in 2022 (#373)
Opinion
Enjeti: Instagram delivers much higher quality audience engagement than Twitter
“My business is almost entirely dependent on YouTube. And I can, frankly, I care more about Instagram than I do about Twitter. I think I have much higher quality engagement. Just from what I've seen, my ability to sell either my subscription tickets any of thos…”
Saagar Enjeti Oct 12, 2022 ▶ 43:24 How To Get Started With Building An Audience in 2022 (#373)
Insight
Enjeti: Viral content requires timeliness, conciseness, and open-ended framing
“Timeliness is number one. It has to be timely. Number two, it has to be the most viral stuff, I believe, has to be able to resonate with somebody and not tell them how to think. Just give them the ability to then form something. And then three, I think it's al…”
Saagar Enjeti Oct 12, 2022 ▶ 21:48 How To Get Started With Building An Audience in 2022 (#373)
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Facebook and Twitter pay zero ad revenue share to creators
“Us, the dancing monkeys that go sit on Twitter all day, coming up with interesting ideas, giving them the interesting content. We get zero, right? So like if I go check my Twitter ad split or my Facebook ad split, and Facebook made, I don't know how many tens …”
Shaan Puri Nov 3, 2021 ▶ 10:47 The Next Big Social Media Network Will Be On the Blockchain. Nader Al-Naji Tells Us Why.
Insight
Al-Naji: Ad business models force platforms to keep content databases closed
“Today, you know, Facebook, Twitter you know, they're really about monopolizing content. Like you said, keeping it under lock and key so that they can show ads on it. And if they allow anyone else to build an app, like if they allow another company to build an …”
Nader Al-Naji Nov 3, 2021 ▶ 10:03 The Next Big Social Media Network Will Be On the Blockchain. Nader Al-Naji Tells Us Why.
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Parr: Moses Kagan manages $200M and raised $40M via Twitter
“His name is Moses Kagan. He currently has two hundred million dollars through AU on under management, and he's deployed thirty million dollars of sorry, he's had forty million dollars come from Twitter.”
Sam Parr Sep 15, 2021 ▶ 22:27 Why You Should Take a Think Week Like Bill Gates | My First Million #218
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Puri: Strip Mall Guy will hit 100K Twitter followers within six months
“By the way, he's at 22,000 followers now. He's at I bet you he's at a hundred in less than six months.”
Shaan Puri Sep 15, 2021 ▶ 21:47 Why You Should Take a Think Week Like Bill Gates | My First Million #218
Insight
Shapiro: Twitter bios need minimal social proof to establish credibility
“So the second part of this is, it's not just why they should follow, but also what is the minimal amount of social proof to justify why you talking about the topics you're saying you'll talk about. You actually are qualified to do so.”
Julian Shapiro Aug 25, 2021 ▶ 45:40 The 3 Cheat Codes Startups Use to Print Cash | My First Million #211 with Julian Shapiro
Disclosure
Shapiro reached 200,000 Twitter followers by tweeting only twice a month
“Like if you look at like my Twitter account, I think I got to like 200,000 Twitter followers and I tweet once every 14 days, like twice a month. I literally send two tweets a month.”
Julian Shapiro Aug 25, 2021 ▶ 41:30 The 3 Cheat Codes Startups Use to Print Cash | My First Million #211 with Julian Shapiro
Insight
Shapiro: Twitter bios should explain what followers gain and why
“Write your bio to justify why people should follow you. By the way, let's just stick with Twitter for now. That's what we're talking about here. So write your Twitter bio. That justifies why you're differentiated and worth following. What do people get from fo…”
Julian Shapiro Aug 25, 2021 ▶ 44:46 The 3 Cheat Codes Startups Use to Print Cash | My First Million #211 with Julian Shapiro
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