why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Brian Armstrong manipulated Polymarket odds during a Coinbase earnings call
“His team passed him a note and he goes, Oh, before we hang up here, I just would like to say web three crypto blockchain, Bitcoin, Ethereum. Thank you very much. And he just basically, he's like you know, just for all the prediction markets out there, you know…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tech equity granted in 2022 could reach eight figures in a decade
“I think now's the time where you can get some of these offers where you're getting paid a 102 103 100,000 dollars a year in equity, and that could be worth potentially eight figures in 10 years.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Uniswap reached Coinbase-level scale on only $11M in funding
“So I think they've only raised eleven million dollars to date, and they've reached basically the same scale as Coinbase on eleven million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Uniswap processes $10B weekly with fewer than 35 employees
“What if I told you that this company is doing ten billion a week in trading volume? And what if I told you it was doing that with less than 35 employees? What if I told you that it took Coinbase eight years and a thousand employees to get to a billion dollars …”
Assertion Supported
Sean Puri: 2012 Bitcoin Investment Outperformed Coinbase Seed Round by $280M
“So you invested a 100,000 dollars in the seed round of Coinbase. That's worth two hundred twenty million dollars on this day today, because it goes public. Now, if you had invested in Bitcoin, same time, Bitcoin at, in that same month was trading at 12 dollars…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Coinbase has nine product lines doing over $100M revenue each
“Coinbase has nine product lines that do over a hundred million dollars of revenue each.”
Insight
Puri: YC's Biggest Wins Came From Founders Scratching Their Own Itches
“The biggest Successes out of YC have typically been that, right? The Airbnb guys renting out their own apartment to make hay, or Brian Armstrong doing Coinbase because he lived in Argentina and dealt with the currency issues and was interested in Bitcoin. Thes…”
What-if
Ali: Passed on $25K Coinbase Series A worth $200M at IPO
“Biggest miss was Coinbase. My at TinyCo, we had this guy who worked for me named Adam Merber. He was roommates with Fred, the Coinbase co-founder. And so Brian Armstrong and Fred were fundraising for their Series A. They got a term sheet from Andreessen Horowi…”
Assertion Partly supported
Puri: Garry Tan was Coinbase's first investor and made $1B
“First investor in Coinbase made like a billion dollars on that.”
Disclosure
Wilkinson: I passed on early investments in Coinbase and Slack
“I've got the ultimate, like, anti-portfolio of, you know, Coinbase and Slack and, you know, all sorts of other stuff.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shaan Puri estimates Dan Romero made over $100M from Coinbase equity
“I bet this guy, you know, banked tens of millions, if not a hundred million dollars plus easily just on Coinbase.”
Disclosure
Puri: Passed on early Coinbase round to buy Bitcoin directly
“For example, I had the opportunity to invest in Coinbase, not super early, but like, let's say, series A or B, somewhere there. And I remember doing the math and being like, okay, I believe in Bitcoin, should I invest in Coinbase, the exchange, or buy Bitcoin?…”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Coinbase's Chief Product Officer held a $600M stake at IPO
“This one dude left Google in order to become Coinbase's chief product officer. And when it went public, his stake was worth six hundred million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Coinbase holds 11% of all crypto assets stored globally
“Coinbase makes up 11% of the crypto asset market in terms of how many assets are stored on crypto on Coinbase.”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Brian Armstrong owns 20% of Coinbase, worth $20B at listing
“Brian Armstrong is the CEO. He's 38 years old. He owns, I think, 20% of the company which means at a hundred billion, his net worth is twenty billion dollars, which puts him, I think, like in the top 50 richest people in the world at 38.”