The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 28 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Lemkin: Traditional B2B SaaS interfaces and CRMs are going to die
“And when we're in ChatGPT 24 hours a day, we're not going to like pull up a CRM. We're not going to use the interfaces. Like these interfaces are all Already dying. You can see it, Sam. And then the amount of time you spend in GPT, like then go to like a B to …”
Lemkin: Jony Ive's $6B AI device valuation is a great bet
“And then, you know, people think this Johnny Ive thing for six billion is crazy. It's a great bet because we're going to go from 20 minutes a day, 22 minutes a day in ChatGPT to 24 hours a day in ChatGPT.”
DeepMind is the reason OpenAI and ChatGPT exist
“DeepMind got bought by Google, and DeepMind is basically Google's AI play, and the DeepMind team, which was basically a research team that was building AI, is the reason that OpenAI exists. It is the reason that ChatGPT exists. It is the reason Elon is interes…”
Liu: Everyone should run their lab diagnostics through AI like ChatGPT
“I mean, I think, like, today, it's already better to, I mean, everybody should be taking all of their, you know, personal, like health diagnostics, you get a blood test or whatever, and, like, running that through ChatGPT, like, upload it, Asko three, like, He…”
Lemkin: Weighting domain expert content makes AI twins vastly superior to ChatGPT
“So what's interesting is that content's already there, but by weight, by heavily weighting it toward my content for my type of knowledge, it's much, it's not a little bit better than ChatGPT. It's like much better.”
Shaan Puri predicts AI website builders will become commoditized ChatGPT features
“I also kind of predict that that's going to Be a very shaky space to build on... It might be that they're the next Squarespace. Squarespace, you know, eventually become a public company, but I don't personally think so. I think that that's going to be just lik…”
Currier: Consumer software window closed in 2014, producing only ten unicorns
“Between 94 and 2013, it was a fantastic time to start companies in the consumer software space and invest in them from seed or series A. In 2014, the window just closed. You can look at the number of unicorns created in two th from 2014 to today, and it's real…”
Puri: Longevity will have a 'ChatGPT moment' within 15 years
“And I kind of, my prediction is that in the next, I don't know, 15 years, we're gonna have a ChatGPT moment for life extension, and that you're gonna get some breakthrough In this longevity and life extension that's gonna make it where it went from this, like,…”
Parr: Young adults will trust AI over doctors within five years
“I bet that the 18 year old today in five years, they're going to go to the doctor. And when they go to the doctor, they're going to tell their doctor, this is the illness that I have. And I think it's this because what you and I would have said five years ago,…”
Lemkin: Rebuilding AI model context takes only a month of daily use
“So yes, it is a moat, but if you decided Claude was much better for you and you, the point is, and you spent a month just including your day each day, you're probably there. You're not, not a hundred percent. It's enough.”
Puri: ChatGPT Explains Medical Test Results Better Than Doctors
“And we just upload all of the screenshots into chat GPT. We're like, what does this mean? And it gives us beautiful, perfect bedside manner explanations, more patient, more thorough than the doctor. You could ask follow-up questions at your own leisure.”
Puri: AI tools will drive a surge in solo startup founders
“Dude, people are just gonna replace their co-founder with this, right? Like you're gonna see a lot more solo founders because You could just have an AI co-founder.”
Puri: Prompting AI to ask clarifying questions beats demanding direct answers
“The way that I think by default people will use this is you ask a question, it gives an answer, and actually a equally if not more powerful way is to do the exact opposite. You basically say, I have a, I'm trying to think about this. Ask me questions. And then…”
Petersen: Learning foreign languages in-country offers poor financial ROI due to AI
“I think learning a foreign language in that country is extremely, it's not a good ROI from like, you probably won't make any money off of this, especially now with chat GPT.”
Puri: ChatGPT Screenwriting Matches Average Professionals Charging Tens of Thousands
“And I would say it is on par with like the average or slightly above average from a professional who I would have paid tens of thousands of dollars to write me a script.”
Puri: End-to-end AI will dominate college admissions counseling within three years
“That's what I think the, like, if I think about how, how somebody going to do this in the next three years, that's what the solution looks like.”
Walls Used ChatGPT to Set His Walkaway Acquisition Price
“I had a number in my head before any of this conversation happened when it just came to my head. I started talking to chat GPT about it, having a little conversation of like, what is before even the sale or anything conversations happened, she said like, what …”
Isenberg: Shortcut AI Builds LBO Models That ChatGPT Cannot
“You know, it's not even just querying because on ChatGPT you can query the data and be like, what would you do here? What would you do there? But you can't say you know, if, you know, build LBO models or GCF analysis or performance statements, like this is stu…”
Parr Uploads Personal Net Worth and Business P&Ls to ChatGPT
“Usually what I've done is I have uploaded my financials, like either my P&L, my businesses P&L, or sometimes even like my personal income statement or my personal net worth, and I will ask ChatGPT questions off of, based off that data.”
Shaan Puri: The next major wave of AI applications will be multiplayer
“Every AI tool right now is single player. He's like, ChatGPT is just a tool you use yourself, and same thing with the image creators, and same thing with almost all of the tools are still single player, but the internet has showed us that, like, all the most p…”
Lemkin: ChatGPT holds 85% market share among consumers and prosumers
“I don't think we realized that open, that chat GBT would have 85% market share at the prosumer consumer level.”
Puri: AI will soon power a viral personality test or astrology app
“I think that's going to happen very soon. And this, we'll look back at this clip and be like, dude, he called it. John called it that that was going to happen. It has to happen.”
Puri: Every major OpenAI release wipes out a wave of AI startups
“There's just swarms that they're all going to get just like wiped out. Every GPT release wipes out a whole wave of like, even the successful ones. Cause it's like, oh, now that's just a feature of chat GPT.”
Parr: Hampton Is Getting Signups Directly From ChatGPT Referrals
“Dude, we are just now getting people. We have gotten a bunch of people who have signed up and they found us via chat GPT.”
Mack: Used ChatGPT to build script blocking YouTube videos under 30 minutes
“How about I just work with ChatGPT to solve this problem, build a script, and now I call it the Kale algorithm. My YouTube does not show me any videos under 30 minutes.”
Elad Gil: Invested in AI Startups Like Perplexity Pre-ChatGPT
“I got involved with a lot of generative AI companies quite early, you know, Perplexity and Harvey and things like that, simply because I was really keen on generative AI and sort of ML related stuff. As I started investing in all those things three years ago b…”
Suby uses ChatGPT to write custom travel storybooks for his daughters
“Whenever we go to a new city, you know, every year we go to multiple new countries, try to go to multiple new countries a year, and whatever the cities or the countries that we're going to be visiting, I go to ChatGPT, And I ask it to write me a children's sto…”
Puri: Use ChatGPT for default, Perplexity for facts, o1 for analysis
“Yeah, it is my, like, default, and then, you know, I play with everything else, so usually if I'm like, how factually correct does this need to be, I'll perplexity, so I go to perplexity.
If it's analysis, I'll use ChappieCPU, like, have you used, like, the O-…”