why aren't all 30 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Silk Road Founder Made Millions of Dollars a Day
“Next thing you know, he's making millions and millions and millions of dollars a day as the biggest drug dealer on the internet.”
Prediction Held up
Pompliano: Bitcoin price will probably rise as halving cuts supply amid ETF demand
“The Bitcoin halving is coming, and that's just when the daily incoming supply, the number of Bitcoin that get created each day, is gonna get cut in half, from 900 Bitcoin to 450.
So like, I always joke, if you went to Economics one-on-one class, supply and de…”
Prediction Partly held up
Pompliano: Solana will outperform Bitcoin and Ethereum this bull market
“I think Solana is going to go up a lot.
It's going to go up a lot more than Bitcoin.
I think it's going to go up a lot more than Ethereum in this specific bull market.
Cause it's a smaller market cap.
There's a lot of energy and excitement around it and all th…”
Prediction Partly held up
Luckey: Bitcoin will reach around $100,000 and then stabilize
“My prediction in 2013 was that Bitcoin will go to about a 100,000 dollars and then stabilize. I'm sticking with it. I think it'll get there. I'm not sure that it in particular has the appropriate utility to reach a higher store of value.”
Assertion Partly supported
Al-Naji: DeSo raised 5,000 BTC via 44,000 automated transactions before incorporating
“You know, that 5000 Bitcoin I mentioned all that money actually came in before there was any corporate entity set up to do anything. And so essentially the way it worked was the blockchain was running, and if you sent Bitcoin to this treasury wallet the blockc…”
Assertion Supported
MicroStrategy holds nearly 400,000 Bitcoin and has outperformed the entire S&P 500.
“They've basically acquired almost 400,000 Bitcoin.
they've outperformed every company in the S&P 500.
And last week alone, it saw one hundred and thirty six billion dollars of trading volume.”
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Peter Todd was only 23 when Bitcoin was released
“When Bitcoin, when the Bitcoin paper was released, Peter Todd would have only been something like 23 years old.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Bitcoin adoption is pacing faster than mobile phones and the internet
“And if you look at mobile phone adoption and internet adoption, Bitcoin is on a faster pace than both of those.”
Assertion Supported
Sean Puri: 2012 Bitcoin Investment Outperformed Coinbase Seed Round by $280M
“So you invested a 100,000 dollars in the seed round of Coinbase. That's worth two hundred twenty million dollars on this day today, because it goes public. Now, if you had invested in Bitcoin, same time, Bitcoin at, in that same month was trading at 12 dollars…”
Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri: More companies will put treasury reserves in Bitcoin within a year
“It's likely that there are more companies out there and it'll take them six months to a year to make this move, but they will take a portion of their treasury reserves and they'll move it into Bitcoin.”
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: MicroStrategy holds $5B in Bitcoin against a $7B market cap
“They own five billion dollars of Bitcoin. The company's worth seven billion dollars”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Anthony Pompliano raised $750M via SPAC for a Bitcoin strategy
“So our friend Pomp, Anthony, they SPAC'd a company, and the company's goal was to do the kind of Michael Saylor playbook, which is, it's a Bitcoin acquisition and finance company, and so what they're doing is they raise, I think, seven hundred fifty million do…”
Assertion Partly supported
Bitfinex Hackers' Stolen $72M in Crypto Ballooned to $8.4B Peak
“They stole seventy two million dollars in crypto and then were trying to launder it, and every, they were the only two people on the entire internet who wanted the price of bitcoin to go down. And they had, every time they were trying to launder it would doubl…”
Assertion Supported
Parr: Bhutan's $1B Bitcoin stash eclipses its entire stock market
“I know they have the, they own more Bitcoin than the total market value of their stock, stock market. It's like a billion dollars in, in, in Bitcoin.”
Assertion Supported
MicroStrategy trades at a massive 2.5x multiple of its underlying Bitcoin NAV.
“MicroStrategy stock, which today trades at like a two and a half times
Multiple of NAV.
You know, NAV is the net asset values, like the underlying asset that it holds, right?
It owns thirty-three billion dollars of Bitcoin.
So the question is, why is it an eig…”
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: Spot Bitcoin ETFs are the fastest-growing ETF products in history
“It's the fastest growing ETF product in the world is Bitcoin.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: MicroStrategy holds $15B in Bitcoin, up 97% on $7.3B invested
“So he currently has 14.96 billion Dollars of Bitcoin in MicroStrategy, and it's up 97% all time. So he's put in 7.3 billion, and now it's sitting on fifteen billion of assets.”
Assertion Supported
Pompliano: MicroStrategy owns over 210,000 Bitcoin, exceeding 1% of total supply
“And he went from owning zero Bitcoin in July of 2020 to today he has more than 210,000 Bitcoin, which is more than one percent of the Bitcoin network.”
Assertion Partly supported
Pompliano: Wall Street refused a $1M bet against Bitcoin over 10 years
“We issued a million dollar bet to anyone on Wall Street. And we were like, we'll take Bitcoin. You take any other asset, like just pick anything over the next 10 years. If you beat us, like you get a million bucks. If Bitcoin outperforms, we get a million buck…”
Assertion Supported
Federal agents were imprisoned for stealing Bitcoin and leaking Silk Road info
“Throughout this case, there's like three or four different FBI agents or like DEA agents who are convicted and go to prison because they started talking with Ross and getting into Bitcoin. And they eventually like started feeding him information about what the…”
Assertion Contradicted
Silk Road processed $10B in transaction volume in today's dollars
“Silk Road got famous because they had something like if you do like today's dollar it basically made Bitcoin popular because it was like eBay for drugs and something like ten billion dollars went through it in only two years since he started it.”
Assertion Partly supported
Tim Draper bought Silk Road's seized Bitcoin for $20 million
“Billy, his dad was Tim Draper, who eventually goes on to buy the Bitcoin. I think he was a billionaire already, but he bought the Bitcoin that Ross was arrested with because they, the government auctioned it off. And that Bitcoin is like worth like five billio…”
Assertion Supported
Ross Ulbricht held 144,000 Bitcoin when he was arrested
“And at the time he had a 144,000 Bitcoin, which at its peak at 60 K, it's like 8.5 billion dollars that he had.”
Assertion Supported
Saylor: Bitcoin Hit $1T Faster Than Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, or Google
“It took Google 22 years to get to a trillion. It took Amazon 24 years to get to a trillion. It took Apple 42 years to get to a trillion. It took Microsoft 44 years to get to a trillion. It took Bitcoin 12”
Assertion Supported
Man Offered to Buy Landfill to Recover Trashed Bitcoin Hard Drive
“There's another guy that's got this story where he his USB or his hard drive, his Bitcoin hard drive was in the landfill. And he was trying to search for it. They wouldn't let him. He's like, I will buy the whole landfill. And he tried to purchase the landfill…”
Assertion Supported
Stefan Thomas Received 7,000 Bitcoin for a 2011 Educational Video
“In 2011, he gets paid to make a video about Bitcoin. And again, 2011, so, you know, Bitcoin, I think the white paper was like a oh nine thing. I think Bitcoin started in 2010, so it's one year into Bitcoin. And he makes an educational video about Bitcoin. He g…”
Assertion Supported
Shaan Puri: US and China each hold $20B in Bitcoin
“The US has it because they seized the Silk Road, right? So they have, you know, the US has twenty billion. China has twenty billion. UK has six billion.”
Assertion Supported
MicroStrategy currently owns approximately 1% of the entire global Bitcoin float.
“He owns about one percent of the Bitcoin float today, and he's trying to get, you know, two percent, basically.”
Assertion Supported
Pompliano: MicroStrategy was first non-crypto public company converting balance sheet to Bitcoin
“And so he was the first public company that wasn't like a crypto miner or something like that to go and say, I'm going to put like 85% of my balance sheet into Bitcoin.”
Assertion Supported
Balaji: 1729 pays $10 in Bitcoin for top 100 daily workout proofs
“Where you submit a proof of workout, we give you 10 bucks in VTC if it's one of the top 100 of that day.”