The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Gil: About 60% of New Jersey childhood ADHD diagnoses lack testing
“So in the state of New Jersey, it's something like 60% of ADHD diagnoses in kids actually have never the kids have never taken any form of test. It's just somebody deciding that they have it.”
Elad Gil Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 30:05 #2297 Elad Gil backed 40 unicorns. This is next
Assertion Contradicted
Walls: Sam Altman said polite user prompts cost billions
“I think that Sam Altman one time said that even if you add a nice little thing at the end, it costs them all this. They're spending billions just because people are being nice.”
Pat Walls Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 27:46 #2294 He Claude Code: Build Me a YouTube Replacement
Assertion Contradicted
Patel: HubSpot CMO says 13% of signups come from LLMs
“When I was speaking at Inbound, the HubSpot event, I was with Kip. And Kip is the CMO of HubSpot. He ended up talking about how roughly 13% of their signups come from these LLM platforms, ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, et cetera.”
Neil Patel Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 11:23 #2282 Neil Patel’s insanely powerful AI sales machine
Assertion Contradicted
David: Posties is the first fully open-source social media scheduler
“Posty is the first social media scheduling tool that actually, like, fully open source”
Nevo David Mar 11, 2026 ▶ 0:55 #2300 Revenue jumped when he sold to AI agents
Assertion Contradicted
Gil: Minecraft was the first billion-dollar single-person company
“People always say, oh, when's the first billion dollar single person company? That was Minecraft.”
Elad Gil Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 9:17 #2297 Elad Gil backed 40 unicorns. This is next
Assertion Contradicted
Santos: Women make roughly 70% of Gillette razor purchases
“There's a few products that are like this, like the one I usually tell is like, is Gillette where, you know, usually the woman in the relationship is the one that buys the Gillette. It's like, I think about 70% of the purchases of Gillette are by women. Don't,…”
Ricardo Vice Santos Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 16:50 #2290 He’s building an AI media empire
Assertion Contradicted
Chesky: Airbnb was the first to combine host and space photos
“On couch surfing, you saw the photo of the person. On Craigslist, you saw the photo of the place, but on no website did you see both, like, the person and their place. I think that was one really important ingredient that made it really compelling.”
Brian Chesky Jan 28, 2010 ▶ 16:20 #216 How Clever Entrepreneurs Turned 3 Air Mattresses Into Airbnb, The Site That Makes Any Home A Bed And Breakfast – with Brian and Joe
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