why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Turck says horizontal AI startups will struggle against reactive tech incumbents
“It seems that for stuff that's very horizontal startups are going to have a harder time building long lasting businesses because in this Cycle. They are facing a very different type of incumbents compared to prior platform shifts where you know, this time you'…”
Insight
Scott Belsky: Contextual UI prompts matter as much as underlying AI models
“One of the most important insights was, and maybe as important as building a great family of models. And I can talk more about Firefly and the underlying models and how we trained it and how we didn't train it and everything else, but was simply the insight of…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Belsky: Adobe data shows AI is increasing creative hiring, not reducing it
“So in our data, we're still seeing this revolution drive hiring more as opposed to reducing the hiring.”
Disclosure
Adobe trained its Firefly AI models exclusively on licensed material
“We wanted to train off of licensed material that we had a license to train off of.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scott Belsky admits a significant portion of daily Photoshop downloaders get lost
“For all the people that download any of these desktop products like Photoshop every day, the number of people that get lost or can't feel successful in the product is really Significant.”
Disclosure
Scott Belsky: All of Adobe's Firefly generative AI models are homegrown
“So all of our generative AI models for Firefly are homegrown.”
Assertion Partly supported
Belsky: Adobe automatically adds Content Credentials to AI-generated assets
“Whenever you use AI in any of our products, we automatically add credentials to the asset. That says what tool was used and what model you used.”
Assertion Supported
De Datta: Adobe is Bloomreach's largest competitor with a $1.5B business in their space
“Yeah, at this point, you know, the companies at a scale where I would say our largest competitor is the Adobe stack. So Adobe has about a one and a half billion dollar software business in our space, and they're the leader in our space, and we admire them a lo…”