superintelligence

also referred to as: super intelligence

5 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 1 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jul 18, 2024 by Jeremy Kahn · across every show →

Everything said about superintelligence, oldest first

Jul 18, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kahn: Scaling current LLMs will not deliver AGI or superintelligence
“I don't think, and I actually don't, in the book, I don't think just scaling up the current LLMs will get us to, I don't, I'm not even sure they'll get us to AGI, let alone super intelligence.”
Jeremy Kahn Jul 18, 2024 ▶ 39:24 An inside look at “Mastering AI” | Jeremy Kahn, Author & AI Editor, Fortune
Nov 8, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Masayoshi Son estimates superintelligence will require $9T in cumulative capex
“Masayoshi Son, the CEO of SoftBank, mentioning just a few days ago that, Inez estimate to reach super intelligence that was going to be a cumulative capex, capital expenditure budget of nine trillion dollars, which you know, in typical MASA fashion he said was…”
Matt Turck Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 4:06 Superintelligence, Bubbles And Big Bets: AI Investing in 2024 | Matt Turck & Aman Kabeer, FirstMark
Jul 17, 2025 positive
Insight
Laskin: Solving organizational code context yields all capabilities for superintelligence
“Like if you really solve this oracle for organizations just for coding, you've basically built all the capabilities you need to have super intelligence.”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 15:53 Ex‑DeepMind Researcher Misha Laskin on Enterprise Super‑Intelligence | Reflection AI
Jul 17, 2025 neutral
Insight
Laskin: Large labs use superintelligence synonymously with AGI
“Superintelligence in these contexts of the large lab context is actually just being used synonymously with what AGI used to be used for.”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 4:57 Ex‑DeepMind Researcher Misha Laskin on Enterprise Super‑Intelligence | Reflection AI
Aug 27, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Greenblatt: Superintelligence will not suddenly emerge from cheap compute recipes
“It doesn't look like we're going to suddenly end up in a regime where like you could train super intelligence with a really cheap recipe, as opposed to it being more of an iterative thing where like the cost keeps going down, the capabilities keep going up. Th…”
Ryan Greenblatt Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 42:10 AI Could Take Over in 2029. Is It Already Too Late?
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