reinforcement learning

also referred to as: rl

42 statements across 15 episodes · 14 bullish · 3 bearish · 15 people on the record · first statement Jan 25, 2016 by Gary Marcus · across every show →

Everything said about reinforcement learning, oldest first

Jan 25, 2016 negative
Insight
Marcus: Reinforcement learning fails in physical robotics due to real-world damage costs
“But it's another thing if you import those same techniques into robots. If you have your robots doing reinforcement learning, which is basically trial and error learning, they start knocking over the furniture a 100,000 times, you're probably gonna send it bac…”
Gary Marcus Jan 25, 2016 ▶ 14:25 Can A.I. Become More Human? // Gary Marcus, Geometric Intelligence (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Dec 8, 2016
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Real-time reinforcement learning outperformed predictive click models at Yahoo
“Instead of trying to predict what people would like, let's, let's, let's run experiments in real time and see what people click on. And that turned out to generate very good click through rates.”
Raymie Stata Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 13:58 Becoming an Internet Company // Raymie Stata, Altiscale [FirstMark's Data Driven]
Dec 8, 2016
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yahoo combined human editors with reinforcement learning for content personalization
“Where this ultimately went then was kind of a system that, that Brought man and machine together, where the editors would propose anywhere from 20 to hundred, and over time, 200 different stories that they think might be good. And the reinforcement learning wo…”
Raymie Stata Dec 8, 2016 ▶ 14:19 Becoming an Internet Company // Raymie Stata, Altiscale [FirstMark's Data Driven]
Jul 17, 2025 neutral
Insight
Laskin: Reinforcement learning makes LLM capabilities jagged, not broadly general
“When you train large language models with reinforcement learning, they become jagged in the sense that they become good at what you wanted them to be good at. And there are some generalization capabilities, but they're much weaker than people think.”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 49:32 Ex‑DeepMind Researcher Misha Laskin on Enterprise Super‑Intelligence | Reflection AI
Oct 2, 2025
Insight
Douglas: AI reasoning strategies emerge naturally with enough compute and RL feedback
“Give it math questions, tell it whether it got them right or wrong, and the model will learn. This is, it comes down to a bit of lesson in scale and search, is just allow the model to search, have enough compute to run the experiments, and the model actually e…”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 55:19 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
Oct 2, 2025
Insight
Douglas: Test-time compute solves harder tasks before RL distills them into models
“Test time compute lets you do harder problems than you can currently do, than you can like currently do off the cuff, and RL Then allows you to sort of distill that back into the model.”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 51:52 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
Oct 2, 2025
Insight
Douglas: Test-time compute executes reasoning while RL provides feedback on correctness
“One way of thinking about this is test time compute is doing a lot of reasoning, and then RL is the feedback signal on whether or not that reasoning was right or wrong.”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 50:58 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
Oct 2, 2025 positive
Insight
Douglas: AI releases accelerating due to dual-paradigm scaling
“There's now this two paradigm regime where previously you did free training scaling and reinforcement learning scaling, and now we're in a mix of the two basically. And so I think that gives you more opportunities to update models because it means that you can…”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 1:45 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
Oct 2, 2025 positive
Insight
Douglas: Solving AI hallucinations intrinsically requires reinforcement learning
“Saying, I don't know, or solving, you know, hallucinations is, ah, intrinsically requires reinforcement learning in many ways.”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 49:35 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
Oct 2, 2025
Insight
Douglas: Simple RL methods work better on language models than complex strategies
“One of the craziest things about RL on language models in the, in, like, the RL from verified rewards regime, is it's almost the simplest possible thing. It's, like, almost too simple to work. And this is, again, comes back to that question of taste, where Rea…”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 52:58 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
Oct 2, 2025 positive
Insight
Douglas: Reinforcement learning elevates mid-tier models to match older flagships
“So that allows you to take a mid-tier model and make it as good as a larger-tier model of six months ago or three months ago.”
Sholto Douglas Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 4:08 Sonnet 4.5 & the AI Plateau Myth — Sholto Douglas (Anthropic)
Oct 16, 2025
Insight
Tworek: Effective reinforcement learning requires a 50/50 balance of rewards and punishments
“In a good way, the good way to do RL is if you balance those things. So if you kind of give cookies half of the time and punish the other half of the time, but this is almost like a mathematical kind of kind of aspect of it.”
Jerry Tworek Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 37:01 How GPT-5 Thinks — OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tworek: Lack of pre-training was the primary bottleneck for 2019 RL
“Like whenever, even when I started like 20, 2019, the reinforcement learning was kind of fashionable at that moment, although not like very successful, but we were, the reinforcement learning was able to solve a lot of games, but the bottleneck was there that …”
Jerry Tworek Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 41:07 How GPT-5 Thinks — OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Insight
Tworek: Reinforcement learning and pre-training require each other to succeed
“And like, I don't like in terms of a pure RL, I don't think like really pure RL makes sense. RL needs Pre-training to be successful. And I think pre-training, as I said before, needs RL to be successful as well.”
Jerry Tworek Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 1:13:14 How GPT-5 Thinks — OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Insight
Tworek: Reward hacking in AI mirrors human behavior under flawed incentives
“In some way you can say it's a limitation of reinforcement learning, but when I was thinking about it, I realized a lot of that happens in human systems as well. There are a lot of like incentive system and reward systems and even, even happens in workplaces a…”
Jerry Tworek Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 1:08:23 How GPT-5 Thinks — OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek
Oct 16, 2025
Insight
Jerry Tworek: Pre-training AI models is mathematically simple compared to RL
“The first thing that is important to know and understand, RL is hard. Like, conceptually, if you think about it, and there's still a lot of depth to it, but very conceptually, mathematically speaking, pre-training is dead simple.”
Jerry Tworek Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 53:31 How GPT-5 Thinks — OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Insight
Tworek: Calling LLMs strictly next-token predictors is inaccurate in RL era
“Language models do on their own, like fundamental level is they are often called as next token prediction machines. And that's not completely accurate in the age of reinforcement learning, but they still operate on mostly on tokens that are mostly text.”
Jerry Tworek Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 3:00 How GPT-5 Thinks — OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Insight
Tworek: Reinforcement learning is the only way agents learn environmental reaction
“And that's kind of, like, the only way how to, like, really teach agents to, like, learn to react to changes in the environment is through reinforcement learning.”
Jerry Tworek Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 39:45 How GPT-5 Thinks — OpenAI VP of Research Jerry Tworek
Oct 23, 2025
Insight
Schrittwieser: Raw pre-trained AI models make poor agents without RL
“Our pre-training data is not very agent-like. If you think of the pre-training data, right, there is like websites and books and, you know, all kinds of recent text that has a lot of information, but it doesn't have a lot of actions. It doesn't really capture …”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 49:17 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025
Insight
Using chain-of-thought as an RL reward destroys model interpretability
“If you're not careful with RL, you can make interpretability harder. For example, one Common thing with modern models is they do reasoning with the chain of thought. You could look at the chain of thoughts to, you know, see what are the model internal thoughts…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 58:25 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schrittwieser: Reliable reward sources will be key to scaling reinforcement learning
“Figuring out what are the best reward sources, and how do we scale it up, and how do we, you know, get more rewards, more reliable rewards. That will be one of the key ingredients in scaling up RL further.”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 44:21 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025
Insight
Schrittwieser: AI safety must span the entire stack, not just RL
“Yeah, I wouldn't view it alignment adjust like an RL problem. I think it sort of, it goes throughout the whole stack. You might, you know, for example, filter the pre-training data in some way. You might, after training, you might have classifiers that, you kn…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:03:10 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
AI research still lacks scaling laws for training data quality
“I think we don't have any good scaling laws yet. That tell us the trade off, especially I think because it's very hard to measure what is the quality of a data point, right? Like how good is this example compared to this other example without being able to mea…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 46:26 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Future AI models will continue to rely on pre-training data
“Personally, I think that's unlikely. Not, not because pre-training is strictly necessary. I think we may well be able to train something completely from scratch, as we've been able to do in other domains, but more because pre-training on this vast data sets th…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 21:27 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Reinforcement learning scaling yields returns on compute similar to pre-training
“If you look at all the RL literature over time, we see very similar returns on compute in pre-training and in RL, where we can invest exponentially more compute in RL and keep getting benefits.”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 42:01 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Oct 23, 2025 positive
Insight
Schrittwieser: Adding model reasoning improves RL training stability and scaling
“One direction of scaling RL and making it more stable is by improving this by, for example, putting more reasoning into your language model to generate much more high quality training data. That can then give us training that is much more stable, and then we c…”
Julian Schrittwieser Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 47:40 Are We Misreading the AI Exponential? Julian Schrittwieser on Move 37 & Scaling RL (Anthropic)
Nov 20, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lambert: Larger pre-trained base models are easier to improve with RL
“A better base model and a bigger base model is much easier to improve with RL.”
Nathan Lambert Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 44:29 Open Source AI Strikes Back — Inside Ai2’s OLMo 3 ‘Thinking"
Nov 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Łukasz Kaiser: Next-gen reinforcement learning will operate on general data
“I do believe the era of tomorrow will be broader. It will work on general data and maybe then it will expand to like domains that, that go beyond where, where it shines today.”
Łukasz Kaiser Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 16:37 What’s Next for AI? OpenAI’s Łukasz Kaiser (Transformer Co-Author)
Nov 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kaiser: RL is a major component in post-training tone steering
“I don't work on post-training and it certainly has a lot of quirks, but I think the main part is, is indeed RL where you say, okay, is this response cynical? Is this response like that? And you say, okay, if you were told to be cynical, this is how you should …”
Łukasz Kaiser Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 43:24 What’s Next for AI? OpenAI’s Łukasz Kaiser (Transformer Co-Author)
Jan 15, 2026 neutral
Insight
Izmailov: AI models can quickly max out defined benchmarks using RL
“And I think we are at the stage where if we define a benchmark and we can make a relevant RL environment, then we can kind of max it out pretty quickly, and so we are going through benchmarks now very, very quickly.”
Pavel Izmailov Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 26:42 The Evaluators Are Being Evaluated — Pavel Izmailov (Anthropic/NYU)
Feb 26, 2026
Disclosure
Axiom Math focuses on post-training reinforcement learning to achieve performance gains
“And I think that we shouldn't do pre-training. We shouldn't try to just only train from scratch. I think we're kind of focusing on post-training reinforcement learning can potentially get us better performance gain.”
Corinna Hong Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 17:26 AI That Can Prove It’s Right: Verification as the Missing Layer in AI — Carina Hong
May 7, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zico Kolter: Reinforcement learning is now the foundation of all AI post-training
“RL is now the foundation of really all post training. It's all done by RL.”
Zico Kolter May 7, 2026 ▶ 1:04:27 OpenAI Board Member Zico Kolter: Modern AI Is Just 200 Lines of Code
May 21, 2026 positive
Insight
Dubois: RL allows AI reasoning models to backtrack wrong paths earlier
“Part of it is the model knowing when it's going down the wrong path. But this is also something that we can that the model can be trained for with reinforcement learning is like knowing, okay, like that seems like not a great path. Let me backtrack and let me …”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 22:59 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 neutral
Insight
Dubois: Agentic RL training suffers from sparse reward credit assignment
“When we are training more agentic systems, you only know whether you're correct at the end of your very long rollout. So you get very little information per token of whether you were correct or not. And it's hard to say it's hard to basically do attribution. I…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 41:15 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 positive
Insight
Dubois: RL becomes effective once base models possess strong world priors
“It seems that after crossing a certain scale of models that know basically everything about the world, and what we call, like, good priors about the world, It seems that reinforcement learning just started to work, and this is not only with LMS. Robotics seems…”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 40:08 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026
Insight
Dubois: Starting post-training with RL without SFT is extremely inefficient
“Because if you just started from reinforcement learning, it would be very inefficient. Because the problem with reinforcement learning is that you have to stumble across the right answer, basically.”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 36:48 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
May 21, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Dubois: OpenAI expanded RL training from math competitions to real-world coding
“We were able to take many of the tools that we built for these, like, verifiable reward cases, and we were able to use them more generally in on, for reinforcement on, like, real use cases, and I think that's, like, really why we're feeling that right now in, …”
Yann Dubois May 21, 2026 ▶ 3:40 OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real
Jun 4, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
OpenAI plans to increasingly rely on reinforcement learning to scale intelligence
“When you have a lot of compute, you want to turn that compute into intelligence in a way that's useful, and RL is one way of doing it, and we just started doing it then, and we're going to do a lot more of it now.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 25:35 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
OpenAI will release reinforcement learning products for consulting, banking, and legal
“I definitely think OpenAI will have amazing products that will be relevant in those domains, and some amount of RL will play a role in there.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 37:01 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Insight
Roberts: Powerful pre-trained models are necessary for effective RL and reasoning
“If you have a powerful enough pre-trained model, then it can start to do well at RL. It can start to like think at use test time compute to for instance, solve, solve math problems that it wouldn't otherwise be able to do.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 27:15 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jul 23, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Feldman: Cerebras serves second-tier AI labs for model training
“We do RL and we do traditional training too. Not for the largest models, for the largest lab, but for the next tier.”
Andrew Feldman Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 45:43 Cerebras CEO: Why GPUs Can't Do Fast Inference
Aug 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Wolf: Frontier AI Training Has Shifted From RLHF to Pure RL
“What we know though, is we moved from this pure, like human data, you know, that was first just pre-training on human data and then also aligning with like human preferences that was called RLHF, where we had a lot of human in the loop and human data. To like …”
Thomas Wolf Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 29:08 “OpenAI’s Model Hacked Us” - Hugging Face’s Thomas Wolf
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