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Dan Roberts

10 statements across 1 episodes · 4 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jun 4, 2026 by Dan Roberts · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Dan Roberts's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Everything said about Dan Roberts, oldest first

Jun 4, 2026
Insight
Dan Roberts: AI scaling laws should be analyzed big-to-small
“The way to think about scaling and say, scaling laws is not small to big, but big to small.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 38:38 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Current AI models lack research taste and problem formulation ability
“There's part of the scientific process. I think that the models haven't been imbued with yet. And I'm sure people are thinking about how to do that. You know, like what, trying to get to what is the right question as opposed to here's a well-defined thing and …”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 44:53 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
OpenAI plans to increasingly rely on reinforcement learning to scale intelligence
“When you have a lot of compute, you want to turn that compute into intelligence in a way that's useful, and RL is one way of doing it, and we just started doing it then, and we're going to do a lot more of it now.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 25:35 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Continuous AI improvements render multi-year autonomous agent runs highly inefficient
“In, in general, we're not just going to like set up a system and let it think autonomously for eight years, if anything, because like the system's eight years. After will be so much more powerful that it probably doesn't make sense to let a system think for a …”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 44:03 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Insight
Pre-training models on language before reinforcement learning is the correct architecture
“Having the model have a prior of language and being able to like, think in language and then train on top of that, that seems like clearly the right. The right thing to do.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 31:16 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 negative
Insight
Dan Roberts: AI models do not experience discontinuous emergence or grokking
“You have these crazy, huge systems that have all sorts of interesting phenomena, and, you know, if you think about it the right way, they don't grok. There's just this nice continuity.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 41:47 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dan Roberts expects more AI-driven math and science breakthroughs within six months
“For the next six months. Like, I think we'll see more of these sorts of math and science breakthroughs.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 47:22 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI systems evolving into fully fledged scientists will be a gradual transition
“The, there's no sharp point, or I don't think there will be a sharp point where we'll say that systems didn't, weren't able to be useful for scientific, the scientific process to their fully fledged scientists. There'll be sort of a gradual shift.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 7:32 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Combining reinforcement learning with pre-training outperforms scaling pre-training alone
“If you were just trying to scale pre-training, you wouldn't get anywhere near as far as also trying to scale RL on top of pre-training, which is what we do now.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 32:05 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
Jun 4, 2026 neutral
Insight
Dan Roberts: AI scaling requires novel algorithms, not just pure compute
“It's not that scale is all you need. You need to also have good ideas to guide the scaling.”
Dan Roberts Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 31:56 OpenAI's Dan Roberts: Why AI Can Now Make Discoveries
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