The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Schwartz: Apple Refused Microsoft’s Offer to Replace Google with Bing for Free
“One is that Bing tried to give itself to Apple for free, and Apple said there was absolutely no price that they would take to use Bing search within Apple.”
Truell: Most of the original GitHub Copilot team has left Microsoft
“The group of people that worked on the first version of Copilot have, by and large, gone on to do other things at other places.”
Schillace: Google Docs won market share, but Microsoft kept the money
“In retrospect, they did fine. Like, we took a bunch of market share, but they kept all the money, basically. So, you know, we being Google, like, you know, so, like, they survived it. Like, you know, they survived. They did a good job surviving the challenge. …”
Microsoft's overall experiment failure rate is 66%, reaching 85% at Bing
“So overall at Microsoft, About 66%, two-thirds of ideas fail, right? And don't think the 66 is accurate. Like, you know, it's about two-thirds. At Bing, which is a much more optimized domain after we've been optimizing it for a while, the failure rate was arou…”
Levine: Microsoft invested in Waze due to lacking proprietary navigation maps
“Microsoft decided that, wait a minute, we don't have our own maps, so let's invest in Waze. So we ended up getting investment from someone that we did not expect.”
Rachitsky: Major tech companies hire product managers, not product owners
“Google has no product owners as far as they know. Amazon, Microsoft, Netflix, like no company you, you've heard of that's a tech company has a product owner. They have, or they're all product managers. They're all product managers.”
Bing wasted 100 person-years integrating social feeds before shutting it down
“We hooked into the Twitter Firehose feed, and we hooked into Facebook, and we spent a hundred person years on this idea, and it failed. You don't see it anymore. It existed for about a year and a half, and all the experiments were just negative to flat.”
Schaffer: Microsoft and Netflix experimentation shows 80% to 90% of hypotheses fail
“Companies like Netflix and Microsoft, there's over and over again. 80 plus percent. Some companies say 90% of things fail.”
Wiz's four co-founders have worked together for over 22 years
“Before, Wiz is actually their second company together. So before Wiz, they founded Adalom, which sold to Microsoft. That's how they all ended up in Microsoft in the first place. And even before that, they all worked together in the Israeli army. So they've kno…”
Rachitsky: Leading US tech and enterprise CEOs were born in India
“Today the CEOs of Microsoft, Alphabet, Adobe, which is a two hundred fifty billion dollar company, turns out, IBM, which is a hundred seventy billion dollar company, Palo Alto Networks, which is a hundred billion dollar company, even Starbucks, also a hundred …”
Carr: Amazon Borrowed Bar Raiser Hiring Process from Microsoft
“So they created this bar raiser process, which by the way, they borrowed from Microsoft, which had a process called as appropriate.”