software engineering

27 statements across 22 episodes · 15 bullish · 4 bearish · 22 people on the record · first statement Nov 17, 2022 by Gergely Orosz · across every show →

Everything said about software engineering, oldest first

Nov 17, 2022 positive
Insight
Orosz: External publisher deadlines are the easiest way to finish books
“If you want to write a book, the easiest way is go to a publisher and sign a contract, not because of the money. In software engineering, you're not going to get much, like, 5000 dollars or something like that. That's what I was offered initially, but it's the…”
Gergely Orosz Nov 17, 2022 ▶ 30:49 Leaving big tech to build the #1 technology newsletter | Gergely Orosz (The Pragmatic Engineer)
Nov 17, 2022 negative
Opinion
Orosz: Code comments mean the code should be refactored and deleted
“If there's a comment to the code, that means that comments should be deleted and you should just refactor the whole thing.”
Gergely Orosz Nov 17, 2022 ▶ 57:51 Leaving big tech to build the #1 technology newsletter | Gergely Orosz (The Pragmatic Engineer)
Mar 2, 2023 negative
Insight
Alströmer: Offering an engineer 10% equity signals undervaluation of engineering
“You apply to YC and you have 90% for yourself and 10% for the engineer, right? That's, you're basically saying they're like, oh, the engineering part of this company is only worth one-tenth of me. I'm the non-technical person. So that, that to me is a signal t…”
Gustaf Alströmer Mar 2, 2023 ▶ 35:29 Lessons from working with 600+ YC startups | Gustaf Alströmer (Y Combinator, Airbnb)
Feb 8, 2024 bullish
Opinion
AI unlocks at least a 50% efficiency improvement in software engineering
“I think engineering is actually like one of the highest leverage things that you could be using AI to do today. And like really unlocking like, Probably on the order of at least a 50% improvement, especially for some of the like lower hanging fruit software en…”
Logan Kilpatrick Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 14:34 Inside OpenAI | Logan Kilpatrick (head of developer relations)
Mar 9, 2025 positive
Insight
Osika: The software bottleneck is shifting from engineering execution to user intuition
“The bottleneck for most products these days, it's not going to be as much on engineering, but having Good taste, good intuition about your users, and that, I mean, engineers and everyone preferably in the team should have that, like, willingness at least to wa…”
Anton Osika Mar 9, 2025 ▶ 55:28 Building Lovable: $10M ARR in 60 days with 15 people | Anton Osika (CEO and co-founder)
Apr 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rauch: Single individuals will do the work of 100 specialists
“I foresee a lot of people becoming incredibly impactful in building and shipping amazing products and building gigantic companies and in everything you could imagine. Where a single person can do the job of a hundred different people in a hundred different spe…”
Guillermo Rauch Apr 13, 2025 ▶ 19:26 Everyone’s an engineer now: Inside v0’s mission to create 100 million builders | Guillermo Rauch
Apr 20, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mohan: Engineering will shift toward business problem prioritization over syntax
“So I think what engineering kind of goes to is actually what you wanted engineers to do in the first place, which is what are the most important business problems that we do need to solve? What are the most important capabilities that we need our application o…”
Varun Mohan Apr 20, 2025 ▶ 18:19 Building a magical AI code editor used by over 1m developers in 4 months: Inside Windsurf
May 1, 2025 negative
Opinion
Truell: Chatbot interfaces lack the precision needed for software engineering
“The problem with the chatbot style end of things is that lacks a lot of precision. If you want humans to have completely, you know, complete control over what the software looks like and how it works, you need to let them, you know, gesture at what they want t…”
Michael Truell May 1, 2025 ▶ 6:22 The rise of Cursor: The $300M ARR AI tool that engineers can’t stop using | Michael Truell
May 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wu: Agentic workflows will unlock 200% to 1,000% software engineering gains
“I think we're going to shift more and more towards this agentic workflow because, you know, that's in some ways it's kind of like that the way to really get to that, you know, 200%, 500%, a thousand percent gains that, that, that, that we'll be getting to with…”
Scott Wu May 4, 2025 ▶ 34:20 Inside Devin: The AI engineer that's set to write 50% of its company’s code this year | Scott Wu
May 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wu: 10x engineering speed will yield over 10x more code
“I think in a kind of zero sum view, you might say, well, we're gonna be 10 times faster at software engineering, and so it means that we're gonna need 10 times fewer software engineers, right? But I think in practice, what really is gonna happen is actually, w…”
Scott Wu May 4, 2025 ▶ 29:51 Inside Devin: The AI engineer that's set to write 50% of its company’s code this year | Scott Wu
May 4, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Wu: The industry is still 20 steps away from software engineering's future
“I think we're all still like 20 steps away from really the future of software engineering”
Scott Wu May 4, 2025 ▶ 1:31:47 Inside Devin: The AI engineer that's set to write 50% of its company’s code this year | Scott Wu
Jul 31, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Taylor: My traditional software engineering skills will no longer be valuable
“I think just like what I was good at will no longer be useful in the future or certainly not like valuable in the future and that's okay.”
Bret Taylor Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 36:15 He saved OpenAI, invented the “Like” button, and built Google Maps: Bret Taylor (Sierra)
Oct 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Prasanna: AI will make teams rewrite entire apps instead of refactoring
“And I think that you're gonna see instead of us, for example, refactoring a, an app to have a different UI or to evolve into its new version, we're just gonna rewrite that app from scratch.”
Dhanji R. Prasanna Oct 26, 2025 ▶ 35:01 How Block is becoming the most AI-native enterprise in the world | Dhanji R. Prasanna
Feb 8, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Elite software engineering will never disappear
“It never goes away. We will need elite engineering more than ever.”
Lazar Yovanovich Feb 8, 2026 ▶ 1:01:05 The rise of the professional vibe coder (a new AI-era job)
Feb 19, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cherny predicts coding will be increasingly solved across all stacks within months
“And over the next few months, I think what we're going to see is just across the industry, it's going to become increasingly solved, you know, for every kind of code base, every tech stack that people work on.”
Boris Cherny Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 19:06 Head of Claude Code: What happens after coding is solved | Boris Cherny
Feb 19, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cherny: Everyone will program within a few years, causing a disruptive transition
“And so I imagine a world, you know, a few years in the future where everyone is able to program. And what does that unlock? Anyone can just build software anytime. And I have no idea. It's just the same way that, you know, in the 1400, no one could have predic…”
Boris Cherny Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 40:16 Head of Claude Code: What happens after coding is solved | Boris Cherny
Apr 2, 2026 positive
Insight
Willison: Practices helping AI agents code also improve human engineering
“Most of the things that make agents write better code work for humans too.”
Simon Willison Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 1:01:06 An AI state of the union: We’ve passed the inflection point & dark factories are coming
Apr 12, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rabois: Product design and software engineering are merging into one function
“I think they're merging in a way where they're not separate, you know, fiefdoms anymore.”
Keith Rabois Apr 12, 2026 ▶ 41:23 Hard truths about building in the AI era | Keith Rabois (Khosla Ventures)
May 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schoening: Cheaper code generation will push software engineering into all business domains
“If the cost of software and creating software and encoding business practices in code, and like, I just literally mean the old, like software, one point no kind of code. Then if that cost is very much going to zero, we will just have a lot more of it. And so I…”
Max Schoening May 2, 2026 ▶ 42:55 AI era skills: Why cultivating agency matters more than job titles | Max Schoening (Notion)
May 17, 2026 neutral
Insight
Kalinowski: Hardware teams only get to compile four or five times
“In hardware, we only get to compile our code, quote unquote, like four or five times. Total. Ever.”
Caitlin Kalinowski May 17, 2026 ▶ 10:21 Why the next AI boom is physical AI | Caitlin Kalinowski (ex-OpenAI, Meta, Apple)
Jun 21, 2026 neutral
Insight
Fung: Engineers Must Continue Learning Their Underlying Architecture and Dependencies
“I actually still think, understand, like, it's always double clicking on that layer that you depend on. Like maybe that to me is a matter, like it's always take that time to learn about your dependencies. Cause this way, when your dependencies change, like you…”
Fiona Fung Jun 21, 2026 ▶ 56:07 What happens after coding is solved? | Fiona Fung (Claude Code & Cowork)
Jun 21, 2026 positive
Insight
AI tools have eliminated raw coding as the primary software engineering bottleneck
“And that's the shift that, you know, like we're seeing with cloud code and coworkers is Coding is no longer the bottleneck.”
Fiona Fung Jun 21, 2026 ▶ 8:58 What happens after coding is solved? | Fiona Fung (Claude Code & Cowork)
Jun 28, 2026 neutral
Insight
Ambrosino: Design requires novelty whereas software engineering relies on known patterns
“There's an amount of like novelty that is more important in design than it actually is in software engineering. Like software engineering, you almost, you must want it to over index unknown patterns, right? Whereas design, it's like, no, there's an element of …”
Andrew Ambrosino Jun 28, 2026 ▶ 14:29 Why OpenAI is merging Codex and ChatGPT and the future of knowledge work | Andrew Ambrosino
Jul 9, 2026
Insight
Mosseri: AI lab engineers spend most time planning and reviewing code
“Engineering used to be, maybe not majority, but a large percentage, 40, 50, 60% writing code. You know, it's not now, especially if you talk to anybody at these labs, they're spending most of their time planning and reviewing code.”
Adam Mosseri Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 17:17 The rise of taste, human authenticity and judgment in an AI world | Adam Mosseri (Head of IG)
Jul 19, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Software engineering will evolve to fluently guide and evaluate AI agents
“So I think engineering over time will evolve to. Be comfortable with that and have fluency in it and know how to guide new tech and agents and new capabilities to make sure that we feel really good about what the output is.”
Elizabeth Stone Jul 19, 2026 ▶ 58:35 Why Netflix is betting on systems thinkers—not specialists—in the AI era | Elizabeth Stone (CPTO)
Jul 26, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Penn: AI in biology and life sciences is only at foot of exponential
“I think, you know, software engineering has been really transformed by AI. I think there's areas like biology, life sciences. These are all things that we're just kind of at like the foot of the exponential on. Like, maybe software engineering were on the expo…”
Dianne Penn Jul 26, 2026 ▶ 1:13:30 Why AI is going vertical (again) | Dianne Penn (Anthropic)
Aug 30, 2026
Insight
Seshan: AI models abstract specialized tasks, forcing craft to become broader
“Some pieces of our craft are actually getting abstracted by models being able to do it really effectively, maybe better than individuals can. And your craft moves from being able to do that very specific task you did in the past to Now applying it to some othe…”
Tara Seshan Aug 30, 2026 ▶ 44:42 AI’s third era: the rise of persistent AI coworkers | Tara Seshan (OpenAI’s product lead)
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