Annie Duke

13 statements across 1 episodes · 3 bullish · 5 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement May 2, 2024 by Annie Duke · said 7 times in 6 episodes since 2022 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Annie Duke's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Mentions by year

brought up most by Lenny Rachitsky (3), Stewart Butterfield (2), Maggie Crowley (1), Jonathan Lowenhar (1)

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Everything said about Annie Duke, oldest first

May 2, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Duke: First Round uses structured forms for independent investment opinions
“We do this, like, for example, at first round, we do this for, we have a structured forum for evaluating a company in terms of whether you should invest in it. Because, you know, there are facts and then there are the way that you model those facts. And so it'…”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 43:42 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024
Insight
Duke: People avoid tight feedback loops because facing immediate errors hurts
“It's very, very difficult for human beings to deal with feeling wrong in the moment, even if it helps them in the long run. It's just hard. And the tighter the feedback loop, the more that you risk finding out you were wrong in the short run.”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 54:00 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024
Insight
Duke: Outside observers typically understand our situations better than we do
“We tend to think that we have insight that other people don't have when actually the other people probably have more insight into our situation than we do.”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 24:01 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024 neutral
Insight
Duke: Parents have essentially zero influence on their children's personalities
“You have very little, you have no influence whatsoever, basically on what your child's personality is. What you can do as a parent is make sure they say please and thank you.”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 13:22 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Duke: Premortems alone generally fail to change people's plans or behavior
“What you find with pre-mortems, this is actually work. I actually did this work with Marie Schweitzer and Linnea Gombe, who are both at Penn. Then when you have people do pre-mortems it generally doesn't actually change their plan very much, or it changed thei…”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 1:05:35 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024 negative
Insight
Duke: Live meetings should only be used for discussion, not decisions
“Here's the thing that I think is the easiest to change, is to realize the only thing that's ever supposed to happen in a meeting is the discussion part.”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 27:27 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024 negative
Opinion
Duke: Corporate alignment is a stupid myth and shouldn't be expected
“The word alignment is stupid and it shouldn't be used. And I know I'm saying that very harshly, but it's true. It's dumb, because it doesn't exist. Like, you have 10 people in a room, and they're all really different people with different opinions, and they're…”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 32:00 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024 positive
Insight
Duke: The best way to gather opinions is independently and asynchronously
“The best way to get somebody's opinion is independently of other people's opinions, independently, asynchronously.”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 25:25 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Duke: Kahneman's structured hiring rubrics raised hit rates from 50% to 65%
“And then, you know, what he found was after you've gone through that process, if you then sort of use your intuition after having done that, not before, that then you actually can really drastically improve sort of your hit rate on hiring. And in that case, it…”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 22:11 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024
Insight
Duke: By the time you consider quitting, it is likely too late
“By the time there's so many biases against stopping, that by the time you're actually even thinking about quitting, like that, it's probably already past the time that you ought to have quit.”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 1:14:37 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024
Insight
Duke: Investors can choose to shorten 10-year feedback loops with intermediate milestones
“There is no such thing as a long feedback loop. You can make a decision about how long the feedback loop is. That is your choice to live in a long feedback loop. And you can choose to shorten the feedback loop. And the way you choose to shorten the feedback lo…”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 50:14 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024 negative
Insight
Duke: Senior leaders voicing estimates first silences dissenting team estimates
“Particularly if you're senior, if you say, I think this is gonna take three months to launch, and I was thinking four weeks, you're never gonna hear four weeks from me. Ever. But if we get those opinions independently, you will actually hear that I think it's …”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 41:49 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
May 2, 2024 negative
Insight
Duke: Aiming for consensus turns workplace meetings into coercive exercises
“If the goal is alignment, if the goal is agreement, then the meeting becomes coercive.”
Annie Duke May 2, 2024 ▶ 32:46 This will make you a better decision maker | Annie Duke (Thinking In Bets, former pro poker player)
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