why aren't all 38 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Parrish: Society progresses by having more outlier entrepreneurs like Elon Musk
“And the point of this is like, we need more people like Elon, not fewer in the world. Whether you agree with him or not, this is how society progresses. We need differences.”
Opinion
Politicians have bought the press and now use media as tools
“Politicians. Used to fear the press and now to a large part, they bought it and use it as a tool.”
Opinion
The elementary education system functions largely as organized daycare
“The education system, at least in elementary school is largely just organized daycare.”
Opinion
Parrish: Standard Oil Volume Freight Rebates Were Not Unfair
“It might sound unfair, but it's not. If I wanted to ship one case of soda from the east to the west coast, I'm going to pay more per case than if I wanted to ship 10,000 cases.”
Opinion
Parrish: Henry Lloyd's Anti-Standard Oil Exposés Were Sloppy and Inaccurate
“As reporting goes, it was sloppy. Much of it rested on rumor and innuendo, and when Lloyd came back in 1894 with a whole book of it called Wealth Against Commonwealth, much of that was wrong, too.”
Opinion
Rockefeller: The Public Always Attacks Remarkable Success
“The world is full of socialists and anarchists. Whenever a man succeeds remarkably in any particular line of business, they jump on him and cry him down. And the crowd is always ready to help tear down a successful man.”
Opinion
Parrish: AI-native graduates can outproduce professionals with 20 years of experience
“There's this weird path where students are coming out and they're more powerful and capable than ever because they use AI by default. And so they can get more output Than somebody who's maybe been in their career, 1520 years.”
Opinion
Parrish: AI-Native Students Now Outproduce Professionals With 15 Years Experience
“There's this weird path where students are coming out and they're more powerful and capable than ever because they use AI by default. And so they can get more output Than somebody who's maybe been in their career, 1520 years.”
Opinion
Hetty Green Was the Gilded Age's Only Female Robber Baron
“She was the only female robber baron effectively of the age, and she was resented for the plainlessness of her clothes and her diet and effectively for her austerity.”
Opinion
Shopify's Tobi Lütke made it safe for Canadians to voice political opinions
“I don't know if he realizes it, but he probably single-handedly changed
The number of people speaking out in Canada on the election, because he started having an opinion, having a voice, and that, that sort of made it safe for other people to have an opinion, …”
Opinion
Modern journalism often fails to remember its fundamental role checking power
“The journalism plays a fundamental role in checking power, something I personally wish it would remember.”
Opinion
Canadian banks operated as a cartel in the 1970s
“The Canadian banks operated as a cartel.”
Opinion
General Electric Under Jack Welch Created Sprawling Bureaucracy Compared to Teledyne
“While GE under Jack Walsh built layers of management and reporting requirements, creating a sprawling bureaucracy, Teledyne maintained its lean structure.”
Opinion
Parrish: Rockefeller, Carnegie, and Morgan Followed Vanderbilt's Example but Few Matched His Impact
“Rockefeller, Carnegie, Mellon, Gould, Morgan, all were just beginning their careers when Vanderbilt stood at his zenith. They studied him, and they followed his example, though few would match his impact.”
Opinion
Vanderbilt Was the Greatest Force in Building America's Corporate Economy
“Vanderbilt didn't just experience that changing time period and watch as the American economy rose around him. He was possibly the largest force at the time responsible for the building of it. He was the trailblazer in the corporate world and reimagined what a…”
Opinion
Parrish: Vanderbilt Democratized Transportation Despite Monopolistic Methods
“Though his methods contradicted his anti-monopoly rhetoric, Vanderbilt democratized transportation, forever transforming the industry.”
Opinion
Modern companies are run by accountants who don't understand products
“Car companies used to be run by people who loved cars, he observed. They knew how to make the cars themselves, and they were always trying to make them better. Retail companies were run by people who knew how to sell. Now they're run by accountants and marketi…”
Opinion
Professional non-founder management cannot maintain extreme product standards
“All these instances would be incredibly difficult as a public company and almost impossible with professional management and not a founder at the helm.”
Opinion
Parrish: Elon Musk effectively saved Tesla through fiction and near-lies
“But I'll, I won't say a lie, but you know, close to a lie and save the company through that lie. Raise money. And now we have this, but had that not happened, whether he was deceiving himself or deceiving other people, or didn't even know he was deceiving hims…”
Opinion
Parrish: Giving Kids Pandemic Free Passes Damaged Their Resilience
“Here's one aspect where I think we've done a major disservice to kids is we've told them, we've trained them that they don't have to do things that don't feel like doing during a pandemic. You don't have to do your homework if you didn't feel like doing it. Te…”
Opinion
Shane Parrish: Hybrid work is the worst workplace model
“Generally speaking, I actually think a hybrid approach, personally, is the worst approach.”
Opinion
Parrish: Annual bonuses are largely ineffective and distort employee effort timing
“I think this is one of the reasons bonuses are largely ineffective either. They're, Not material for the vast majority of people, and they happen once a year, and so you tend to get feedback once a year, and you know, in those three months before you get your …”
Opinion
Parrish: Rockefeller's Public Role Shielded Standard Oil's Real Operators
“I suspect that because he was such a focal point for the public attention, the company was able to keep going for decades.”
Opinion
Parrish: Ida Tarbell damaged Rockefeller more than all politicians and investigators combined
“This one magazine writer did more to damage John D. Rockefeller than every senator, investigator, and ranting reporter combined”
Opinion
The US Military Was the Best Vocational School for Korean Builders
“The American military, without ever intending to, had become the most Effective vocational school Korean construction ever had.”
Opinion
No Private Individual Contributed More to South Korea's Rise Than Chung
“Chung did not build that alone. Millions of Korean workers, dozens of other entrepreneurs, and several presidents all contributed. But no single private individual had a larger hand in what happened.”
Opinion
Parrish: Les Schwab outcompeted rivals because treating employees like owners increased care
“He built a multi-billion dollar business selling tires by treating his employees like owners. His businesses outcompeted every competitor simply because his employees cared more.”
Opinion
Parrish: HP's rejection of Apple I cost the company trillions
“What followed was a comedy of corporate blindness that would cost Hewlett Packard trillions.”
Opinion
Warren Buffett and Hetty Green Share Principles but Have Different Reputations
“Warren Buffett living modestly in Omaha while managing billions follows principles Hedy would have approved of. But where Buffett is celebrated as a sage, Hedy was often dismissed as eccentric.”
Opinion
Wintour's fashion study demanded more discipline than any degree
“The irony is that Anna's unserious pursuit required more discipline than any degree. She wasn't avoiding rigor, but applying it differently. Fashion was cultural anthropology, business strategy, and visual communication. Full stop.”
Opinion
Early Silicon Valley possessed technical brilliance but lacked organizational discipline
“Silicon Valley had technical brilliance, but lacked organizational discipline. Precisely the gap that Grove, with his Eastern European understanding that systems mattered as much as individual genius, was uniquely positioned to fill.”
Opinion
Apple's retail strategy mirrors Estée Lauder's product demos and packaging obsession
“Apple seems to have learned a lot from Estee Lauder as well, right? If you think about it, they have a hands-on demo. So they guide you through it. They show you how their products work, how to use them. They focus on the customer experience with the packaging…”
Opinion
Timothy Eaton built trust on consistency, Jack on retail theater
“Timothy Eaton built trust through consistency. Jack Eaton would build an empire through theater.”
Opinion
Parrish: Women typically listen to learn while men listen to fix
“Which is women typically listen to learn, men typically listen to fix, problem solve, and this creates a divide between us, or in your word earlier, instead of a divide, it creates space between us.”
Opinion
Parrish: A Strong Mind Builds a Strong Body, Not Vice Versa
“A strong body can't make a strong mind, but a strong mind can make a strong body.”
Opinion
Gender Bias Turned Hetty Green's Prudent Frugality Into Vicious Gossip
“Hetty's frugality, which was something that would be praised as prudent business sense in men, became the subject of vicious gossip because she was a woman.”
Opinion
Estée Lauder beat Helena Rubinstein and Elizabeth Arden through relentless persistence
“Helena Rubinstein and Elizabeth Arden had built these global empires through chains of luxury beauty salons, but as they had something they didn't, this almost pathological inability to take no for an answer.”
Opinion
Shane Parrish: COVID lockdowns isolated communities and increased widespread societal selfishness
“I think one of the interesting things that COVID did is it disconnected us from our community en masse.
It locked us in our house delivery services.
We don't have to interact with people.
We're not forced to see people who are more or less successful than we a…”