The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Mullainathan: Academic psychology will inevitably pivot toward applied self-help
“I think we're going to see a revolution both in behavioral science as a research discipline. So for example, here's a telltale sign. Psychologists don't work on self-help. That doesn't make any sense. There's a whole ocean of people who in good faith want to i…”
Mullainathan: Digital footprints will improve human cognition over the next 20 years
“In the next 20 years, I think we'll be able to improve what's happening in our heads using digital tools because so much of what happened in our heads is now digitized. So we can look at that digital footprints and use that to improve how we're thinking. And f…”
Mullainathan: Knowledge workers will increasingly review objective 'game tape' of decisions
“I think where we're going to head with this is already seen in sports is that an athlete has a coach who sits with them and looks at the tape.
Shane Parrish: Right.
Sendhil Mullainathan: The tape is the objective.
Shane Parrish: And I'm going to help you inter…”