The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight
Bakshi: True Long-Term Thinking Is Impossible Without Financial Independence
“I think it's important to think really long term, and you can't do that unless you're financially independent. That's one of the big lessons that I have for my students. Is that the first thing that they need to get is financial independence. Once they have th…”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 23:14 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Low-Cost Business Models Provide Sustainable Economic Moats Over Brand Differentiation
“I think the low cost model is a far more sustainable model.”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 29:15 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Intuitive, Design-Driven Founders Require a Proven Track Record to Spot
“You can't spot these people at the beginning of their careers. You can spot them maybe in the middle of their careers. So there has to be past track record of somebody who's intuitive and right over and over again. Once you found that, that's based, based on a…”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 48:11 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Opportunity Costs Dictate Shutting Down Underperforming Businesses Earlier Than Expected
“Ah, but if you study Charlie, and if you study Warren Buffett's life, you'll find out that actually you should shut it down well before when it makes sense for you to shut it down, because you have to think about opportunity costs.”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 19:07 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Berkshire's Refusal to Sell Underperforming Businesses Creates a Reputational Moat
“Even though in the short term, it might cost Berkshire some money, in the long run, it has created a huge reputational advantage for them and of course, that has helped Berkshire.”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 22:11 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Short-Term Redemption Risk Prevents Funds From Replicating Berkshire's Strategy
“When you're running a fund when you have investors who can pull the money out at a short notice, You probably cannot think on those lines, and which is something which Buffett and Charlie are familiar with, and they don't have their structural disadvantages. S…”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 22:22 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Great Businesses Are Risk-Averse but Not Loss-Averse
“The way I think about it is that I'm looking for businesses that, that are risk averse, but not loss averse. And those two things are very different. So what you're really looking for is somebody who doesn't mind making a few small bets. Many of them will go b…”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 44:31 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Answering "Why" With "Part of the Reason" Curbs First-Conclusion Bias
“The way to do that is to always answer a question why by the phrase part of the reason. Because that removes the availability heuristic, the first conclusion bias. Because there are, in, in a world which is full of complexity, there are multiple answers. There…”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 10:57 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Costco Generates Float Through Upfront Customer Membership Fees
“And when you combine that with the fact that customers are funding a lot of that business because they pay upfront a fee to get a privilege of shopping with you, and that gives you float, which I think is another aspect of a wonderful business.”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 30:25 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
Insight
Bakshi: Comparing Multi-Year Intervals Reveals Business Changes Missed in Quarterly Statements
“If you look at a business, hugely value creating business, or a value destroying business, and if you look at the financial statements, or a quarterly period, you will miss a lot of the change, but if you put gaps in between, if you look at data five years ago…”
Sanjay Bakshi Sep 18, 2015 ▶ 38:59 #3 Sanjay Bakshi: Why Mental Models
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