The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Petersen predicts U.S. crackdown on foreign shell companies importing goods directly
“I think they're going to crack down on that. I think they're going to shut down that.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:15:09 Ryan Petersen: Building Flexport
Assertion Supported
U.S. Department of Justice ranks customs fraud as its second white-collar priority
“Guarantee you, like, you are reliable for that. Like, as a warning, look at the camera. UF. CBP DOJ has announced as their number two priority in white collar crime division of the Department of Justice is customs fraud. Healthcare fraud is number one, and the…”
Ryan Petersen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:15:58 Ryan Petersen: Building Flexport
Assertion Supported
Petersen: Ocean shipping manifests are public records in nearly 20 countries
“Shipping manifests for ocean freighter public record, and it has a lot of really interesting data on it. The public record in the US, we've since learned in like over almost 20 countries that you can get the shipping manifest data.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 7:49 Ryan Petersen: Building Flexport
Assertion Supported
China-to-US ocean container shipping costs dropped to $600 in 2016
“You could ship a container from China to the U.S. For, our cost was like 600 dollars. Normal long run average about 2000. Today, I didn't check the price this morning, but it's probably four or 5000 right now. And the peak COVID was, you know, famously got to …”
Ryan Petersen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 35:14 Ryan Petersen: Building Flexport
Assertion Supported
Half of global air freight flies in the bellies of passenger planes
“About 50% of the world's air freight travel, we do air freight too, not ocean freight and about 50% of the world's air freight flies in the belly of passenger planes.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 37:14 Ryan Petersen: Building Flexport
Assertion Supported
Flexport handles approximately 0.1% of global containerized trade
“We're only about .one percent of global trade in the containerized, in the world, in the domain in which we play.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 1:39:02 Ryan Petersen: Building Flexport
Assertion Supported
Flexport participated in Paul Graham's final Y Combinator batch
“Yeah, really lucky that I, not only was the last batch, but he announced it mid-batch, so you didn't take it for granted that you were getting this time with Paul.”
Ryan Petersen Aug 5, 2025 ▶ 17:45 Ryan Petersen: Building Flexport
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