why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Flexport hired roughly 900 U.S. software engineers over 12 months
“I think we added 900 software engineers in 12, in like 12 months. Oh wow. And turned out, they're all in the U.S. Or almost all in the U.S., Seattle mostly. It was like very expensive people.”
Assertion Contradicted
Flexport is the only top-100 freight forwarder founded after the web browser
“We're the only one founded, only one in the top hundred in the world founded after the web browser was invented.”
Assertion Partly supported
China shipping volumes plunged 60% before surging upon U.S. tariff relief
“Volumes from China collapsed, 60% down when, on April ninth, the day the duties hit, stayed down for five weeks, and then as soon as he relaxed, as soon as they, the Trump administration relaxed the duties on China to 30% instead of one 45, it surged to 80% ab…”
Assertion Partly supported
Flexport reached profitability in 2022 as revenue peaked at $3.8 billion
“Like, we were, we turned profitable in twenty-twenty-two. Our revenue peaked at 3.8 billion because the price of freight was so high.”
Assertion Partly supported
Flexport flew 500 million PPE items on 88 passenger planes during COVID
“So we got all of this, we got 80, we did 88, I think it was 8788 passenger planes full of Masks in the overhead compartments in every seat, obviously the belly, and we just, we flew five hundred million masks and other object, other PPE items in for US Hospita…”
Prediction Held up
Petersen predicts U.S. crackdown on foreign shell companies importing goods directly
“I think they're going to crack down on that. I think they're going to shut down that.”
Assertion Supported
U.S. Department of Justice ranks customs fraud as its second white-collar priority
“Guarantee you, like, you are reliable for that. Like, as a warning, look at the camera. UF. CBP DOJ has announced as their number two priority in white collar crime division of the Department of Justice is customs fraud. Healthcare fraud is number one, and the…”
Assertion Partly supported
Over $7 billion in eligible U.S. customs duty drawbacks goes unclaimed annually
“And so every year in the United States, seven billion goes unclaimed. And that was pre these new tariffs. So it's presumably much higher.”
Assertion Supported
Petersen: Ocean shipping manifests are public records in nearly 20 countries
“Shipping manifests for ocean freighter public record, and it has a lot of really interesting data on it. The public record in the US, we've since learned in like over almost 20 countries that you can get the shipping manifest data.”
Assertion Supported
China-to-US ocean container shipping costs dropped to $600 in 2016
“You could ship a container from China to the U.S. For, our cost was like 600 dollars. Normal long run average about 2000. Today, I didn't check the price this morning, but it's probably four or 5000 right now. And the peak COVID was, you know, famously got to …”
Assertion Supported
Half of global air freight flies in the bellies of passenger planes
“About 50% of the world's air freight travel, we do air freight too, not ocean freight and about 50% of the world's air freight flies in the belly of passenger planes.”
Assertion Supported
Flexport handles approximately 0.1% of global containerized trade
“We're only about .one percent of global trade in the containerized, in the world, in the domain in which we play.”
Assertion Supported
Flexport participated in Paul Graham's final Y Combinator batch
“Yeah, really lucky that I, not only was the last batch, but he announced it mid-batch, so you didn't take it for granted that you were getting this time with Paul.”