why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Holiday: AI Will Eliminate Average Workers but Boost Elite Leverage and Pay
“These technologies aren't eliminating They're going to be eliminating large chunks of the people who are able to do that thing. But the people who could do that thing at an elite or an excellent level will probably it's leverage will be better at it and be mor…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Holiday: Much of Everyday Communication Will Become AI Talking to AI
“Well, just like social media is bots talking to bots, like A lot of our life is going to be like AI talking to AI.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Holiday wrote four books in four years using unsearchable physical notecards
“Yeah, I've written four books in four years. Like, it's not, not having Unsearchable has not held me back in any way that I can currently tell.”
Assertion Supported
Holiday: Elon Musk's friends staged an intervention against founding SpaceX
“When Elon Musk was planning what became SpaceX, his friends held a literal AA style intervention that said, you cannot start a rocket company. This is the worst idea. You will lose all your money.”
Assertion Partly supported
Holiday: Amazon prohibits meetings without pre-edited written memos
“You're not allowed to call a meeting unless you've written a memo about what's going to be discussed at the meeting. And multiple people have to edit that memo before you could sit down and do it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tony Robbins offered Holiday double his rate for a million-copy bestseller
“Tony Robbins called me and wanted me to work on his book for, like, double the amount, and that book has sold, like, a million copies since.”
Assertion Supported
Holiday: Historical records show Marcus Aurelius cried but never lost his temper
“We have a couple of stories of Mark's realest crying, but we don't have any stories of him losing his temper.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
The most famous Stoics dominate because their written works survived completely
“The reason Seneca, Marcus Aurelius, and Epictetus are also the most famous is because their works survive the most completely. So all you really get from the other people are fragments anyway.”