The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Housel: America's Non-Fascist Great Depression Recovery Was a Top 10% Tail Outcome
“The outcome that we, that actually happened was like a top 10% outcome. It easily could have, if not should have, turned out as it did in much of Europe, where after the Great Depression, the people's response was like, maybe we should give fascism a try. Mayb…”
Housel: Warren Buffett Would Be Unknown Had He Retired at Age 60
“If Buffett had retired at age 60 or 50, like a normal person would have in that situation, you would have never heard of him.”
Housel: Jeremy Grantham Would Be a Momentum Investor Without His Early Bear Market
“Everything we know about psychology is like early experiences leave scars. They stick around for a long time. So you can easily imagine an alternative history of where Jeremy Grantham started his career during a tech bubble and became a momentum investor, like…”