why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mullenweg: Open Source Eventually Dominates Every Market It Enters
“So I believe that open source comes to dominate any market that enters over time. And the key word is over time because sometimes it takes many decades.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mullenweg: Open source can power 80% to 85% of the web
“And I believe we have the ability to create a national monopoly of 80, 85% of the world's websites running on open source.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mullenweg: Akismet maintains over 99.999% accuracy in blocking spam
“And it's now, 10 years later, it still has over five nines of accuracy for blocking spam and keeping and allowing good stuff through.”
Assertion Supported
Mullenweg: WooCommerce is doing well over $20B in GMV
“WooCommerce, which is, I think, one of the fastest growing e-commerce platforms in the world. It's essentially e-commerce built on top of WordPress, so you get the best of both. And that's doing well over twenty billion of GMV now and growing really quickly.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mullenweg: Automattic cut $25M-$30M in annual costs from Tumblr
“So we were able to take 25, thirty million a year of cost out of Tumblr, just by kind of bringing it over to our systems, which brought them a lot closer to being breakeven.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mullenweg: Automattic cut Tumblr's server fleet from 6,000 to 800
“We ended up reducing that to about 800. So we went from 6000 servers to 800 and part of that was, you know, doing a lot of engineering work to bring things on to sort of what we've learned with best practices and being super duper frugal with everything we bui…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Each incremental site on WordPress.com costs Automattic one cent per year
“And then that became WordPress.com, which allows us to host hundreds of millions of sites on the same code base, same databases, in a super scalable way where each incremental site only costs us like a penny per year.”
Assertion Supported
Mullenweg: WordPress powers 38% of top 10 million sites
“I think we're 38% of the top ten million websites, which is more than 10 times the number two.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mullenweg: Automattic has an annual regretted employee churn of 3% to 4%
“So our regretted churn is something like four percent per year, three percent, three and a half percent.”