The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Howey: Tesla will not win the autonomous vehicle race
“It's always someone you don't expect. It's never the first mover. It won't be, you know, Tesla.”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 29:41 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Howey predicts self-driving robotaxis will reduce car ownership to 10%
“And car ownership is going to become a thing that only a minority of humans even own a car because of the way they'll even they'll never be parked really though because every car that can drive itself is a robot, basically, that can go earn money by running Ub…”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 28:20 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Howey: Autonomous vehicle winner will be defined by safety reputation
“The potential is for self-driving cars to be vastly safer. And I think we will achieve that potential and whoever has a reputation The way, you know, Saab used to have a reputation for building, you know, these tanks that you could, like the other person in th…”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 30:50 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
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