The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Howey: Tesla will not win the autonomous vehicle race
“It's always someone you don't expect. It's never the first mover. It won't be, you know, Tesla.”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 29:41 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Howey predicts self-driving robotaxis will reduce car ownership to 10%
“And car ownership is going to become a thing that only a minority of humans even own a car because of the way they'll even they'll never be parked really though because every car that can drive itself is a robot, basically, that can go earn money by running Ub…”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 28:20 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
Assertion Supported
Howey: Amazon halves self-publishing royalties outside the $2.99 to $9.99 range
“They think eBooks should be between two 99 and nine 99. And if you price it there, they'll give you a 70%. If you price it below two 99, Hey, you're welcome to do that. But they're going to pay you 35%, which is half. If you price it over nine 99, again, your …”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 1:13:26 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Howey: Autonomous vehicle winner will be defined by safety reputation
“The potential is for self-driving cars to be vastly safer. And I think we will achieve that potential and whoever has a reputation The way, you know, Saab used to have a reputation for building, you know, these tanks that you could, like the other person in th…”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 30:50 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Howey: Standard publisher book advances typically range from $15,000 to $25,000
“So the way it works is a publisher offers you a lump sum of money to get the lifetime rights in all the rights. They're going to get the Print rights, the digital, the audio, the foreign rights by offering you a typical advance might be like 15 to 25,000 dolla…”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 1:08:55 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
Assertion Supported
Howey: Overhead and Marketing Drive Book Costs Far More Than Printing
“The, most of the cost is the overhead they have for their, you know, stupid building in, in Manhattan, which is the dumbest place To set up a publishing empire, but that's where they've decided to do it. And the editorial costs and the promotion and marketing …”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 1:28:40 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
Assertion Supported
Hugh Howey wrote approximately fifteen novels over a six-year period
“And in about a five or six year period, I wrote about 15 novels, and some of them did well enough that I'm now doing my other dream, which is to sail around the world.”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 40:29 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
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