The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: AI will soon invent its own research ideas and run experiments
“And we're going to be hitting a phase soon where the AI will also come up with its own research ideas and test those out, run experiments.”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 33:09 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: The world is heading into severe compute constraints
“I would say that we, in general, are heading to a compute-constrained world.”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 41:54 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Data centers dedicated to curing cancer could emerge this year
“I think that this kind of thing happening this year is not out of the question.”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 46:44 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: People will manage AI agents and lead autonomous AI corporations
“We're all going to be heading to a world where we're managers of agents and soon maybe The CEO of an autonomous AI corporation, right?”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 1:07:36 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: Everyone will have a pocket AI doctor superior to top medical teams
“We should be in a world, if we do our job right, where everyone gets access, has a doctor in their pocket that is better than any team of doctors today, the world's best doctors, they're there for you, they care about you, they're actually reading your charts,…”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 1:10:27 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
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