The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

What-if
Brockman: GPT-4 met previous AGI criteria despite clearly not being AGI
“It clearly wasn't an AGI. It was lacking something, but just if you'd describe your criteria for AGI two months prior, it probably would have been compatible with what GPT-IV was”
Greg Brockman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 7:55 Ai Goes Parabolic | OpenAI Co-Founder Greg Brockman
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